Away team
Buffalo Sabres
54.0%
Fair American
-117
Fair decimal
1.85
Buffalo Sabres vs Chicago Blackhawks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for November 12, 2026
NHL matchup
Buffalo Sabres at Chicago Blackhawks
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for November 12, 2026.
November 12, 2026
· 7:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Buffalo Sabres at 54.0%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Chicago Blackhawks
46.0%
Fair American
+117
Fair decimal
2.17
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Nov 12, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 3-4
- Net units
- -1.66
- ROI
- -23.7%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 1-5
- Net units
- -4.07
- ROI
- -67.8%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 3-2
- Net units
- 0.10
- ROI
- 2.0%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 3-2
- Net units
- 1.46
- ROI
- 29.2%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 11
- Record
- 4-7
- Net units
- -2.13
- ROI
- -19.4%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 0
- Record
- 0-0
- Net units
- 0.00
- ROI
- —
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 12. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Buffalo Sabres
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
89:52 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 94 / 46
- Fenwick for / against
- 62 / 34
- Corsi share
- 67.1%
- Fenwick share
- 64.6%
- xG for / against
- 5.12 / 2.16
Defense pair
82:50 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 70 / 73
- Fenwick for / against
- 48 / 49
- Corsi share
- 49.0%
- Fenwick share
- 49.5%
- xG for / against
- 3.17 / 3.45
Chicago Blackhawks
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
66:26 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 40 / 56
- Fenwick for / against
- 32 / 40
- Corsi share
- 41.7%
- Fenwick share
- 44.4%
- xG for / against
- 2.67 / 2.20
Defense pair
121:03 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 69 / 113
- Fenwick for / against
- 56 / 85
- Corsi share
- 37.9%
- Fenwick share
- 39.7%
- xG for / against
- 3.65 / 5.24
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Buffalo Sabres
Expected starter unavailable.
Chicago Blackhawks
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Colten Ellis
Buffalo Sabres · Last start: Oct 27
4 / 4 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 82
- Save %
- 90.2
- Goals allowed
- 8
- Close-range shots %
- 26.8
Spencer Knight
Chicago Blackhawks · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 153
- Save %
- 90.8
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 42.5
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 12, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Buffalo Sabres
- xG for / game
- 3.17
- xG against / game
- 3.59
- xG differential / game
- -0.41
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Chicago Blackhawks
- xG for / game
- 2.60
- xG against / game
- 3.39
- xG differential / game
- -0.79
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 12, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Buffalo Sabres
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 57.2
- Corsi share (%)
- 50.0
- Fenwick share (%)
- 49.0
- Faceoff win %
- 47.4
- Penalties / game
- 4.3
Shots / game: 27.6 · Shooting: 9.4% · Avg distance: 30.7 ft
Chicago Blackhawks
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 47.9
- Corsi share (%)
- 44.9
- Fenwick share (%)
- 44.0
- Faceoff win %
- 44.0
- Penalties / game
- 3.5
Shots / game: 22.1 · Shooting: 10.9% · Avg distance: 30.5 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
BUF
|
Metric |
CHI
|
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Points | 8 |
| 0.542 | Points % | 0.333 |
| 33 | Goals for | 26 |
| 41 | Goals against | 44 |
| -8 | Goal differential | -18 |
| W1 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
BUF road
|
Metric |
CHI home
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games | 8 |
| 2 | Wins | 4 |
| 7 | Points | 8 |
| -3 | Goal differential | -5 |
Last 10 games
|
BUF
|
Metric |
CHI
|
|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | Record | 4-6-0 |
| 11 | Points | 8 |
| 26 | Goals for | 24 |
| 32 | Goals against | 33 |
| -6 | Goal differential | -9 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
BUF
9 wins
10
games reviewed
CHI
1 wins
Total goals44 – 22
Goal differential
+22
/
-22
Goals per game4.4 / 2.2
Shots per game30.6 / 22.6
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
3 - 4 | 15 - 28 | View |
| Apr 13, 2026 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
5 - 1 | 26 - 16 | View |
| Nov 21, 2025 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
3 - 9 | 23 - 30 | View |
| Dec 27, 2024 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
2 - 6 | 17 - 35 | View |
| Oct 19, 2024 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
4 - 2 | 22 - 37 | View |
| Jan 18, 2024 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
0 - 3 | 19 - 31 | View |
| Nov 19, 2023 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
3 - 2 | 20 - 26 | View |
| Jan 17, 2023 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
3 - 4 | 33 - 26 | View |
| Oct 29, 2022 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
3 - 4 | 26 - 45 | View |
| Apr 29, 2022 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
2 - 3 | 21 - 36 | View |