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Buffalo Sabres vs Chicago Blackhawks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for April 13, 2026

NHL matchup

Buffalo Sabres at Chicago Blackhawks

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for April 13, 2026.

April 13, 2026 · 7:30 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 13. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Buffalo Sabres

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

92:53 together · 10 games

xG share55.5%
Corsi for / against
97 / 87
Fenwick for / against
78 / 57
Corsi share
52.7%
Fenwick share
57.8%
xG for / against
4.56 / 3.65
Defense pair

115:29 together · 10 games

xG share52.8%
Corsi for / against
103 / 93
Fenwick for / against
79 / 66
Corsi share
52.6%
Fenwick share
54.5%
xG for / against
5.34 / 4.78
All observed combinations

Chicago Blackhawks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

122:50 together · 10 games

xG share37.5%
Corsi for / against
92 / 146
Fenwick for / against
70 / 115
Corsi share
38.7%
Fenwick share
37.8%
xG for / against
4.68 / 7.79
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Colten Ellis

Buffalo Sabres · Last start: Apr 9

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
136
Save %
91.2
Goals allowed
12
Close-range shots %
33.1

Arvid Soderblom

Chicago Blackhawks · Last start: Apr 11

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
145
Save %
88.3
Goals allowed
17
Close-range shots %
37.9
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 13, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Buffalo Sabres

xG for / game
3.28
xG against / game
2.93
xG differential / game
0.36

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Chicago Blackhawks

xG for / game
2.84
xG against / game
3.77
xG differential / game
-0.93

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 13, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Buffalo Sabres

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
59.0
Corsi share (%)
51.2
Fenwick share (%)
51.8
Faceoff win %
48.9
Penalties / game
4.6

Shots / game: 29.5 · Shooting: 11.2% · Avg distance: 32.9 ft

Chicago Blackhawks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
52.2
Corsi share (%)
44.4
Fenwick share (%)
43.7
Faceoff win %
42.3
Penalties / game
2.4

Shots / game: 26.7 · Shooting: 9.0% · Avg distance: 32.4 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Buffalo Sabres BUF
Metric
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
11Points6
0.500Points %0.273
31Goals for24
41Goals against43
-10Goal differential-19
OT1Current streakL3
Road versus home
Buffalo Sabres BUF road
Metric
Chicago Blackhawks CHI home
5Games7
1Wins3
5Points6
-5Goal differential-6
Last 10 games
Buffalo Sabres BUF
Metric
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
4-3-3Record3-7-0
11Points6
28Goals for22
35Goals against38
-7Goal differential-16
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Buffalo Sabres BUF 8 wins
10 games reviewed
Chicago Blackhawks CHI 2 wins
Total goals42 – 27
Goal differential +15 / -15
Goals per game4.2 / 2.7
Shots per game32.3 / 24.3
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Nov 21, 2025
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
3 - 9 23 - 30 View
Dec 27, 2024
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
2 - 6 17 - 35 View
Oct 19, 2024
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
4 - 2 22 - 37 View
Jan 18, 2024
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
0 - 3 19 - 31 View
Nov 19, 2023
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
3 - 2 20 - 26 View
Jan 17, 2023
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
3 - 4 33 - 26 View
Oct 29, 2022
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
3 - 4 26 - 45 View
Apr 29, 2022
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
2 - 3 21 - 36 View
Mar 28, 2022
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
6 - 5 37 - 21 View
Nov 17, 2019
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
1 - 4 34 - 27 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.