Forward trio
71:46 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 76 / 66
- Fenwick for / against
- 54 / 51
- Corsi share
- 53.5%
- Fenwick share
- 51.4%
- xG for / against
- 3.96 / 2.77
Buffalo Sabres vs Carolina Hurricanes prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 19, 2026
NHL matchup
Buffalo Sabres at Carolina Hurricanes
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 19, 2026.
January 19, 2026
· 12:30 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 19. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Buffalo Sabres
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
123:16 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 100 / 132
- Fenwick for / against
- 74 / 95
- Corsi share
- 43.1%
- Fenwick share
- 43.8%
- xG for / against
- 4.68 / 6.30
Carolina Hurricanes
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
90:43 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 121 / 59
- Fenwick for / against
- 86 / 48
- Corsi share
- 67.2%
- Fenwick share
- 64.2%
- xG for / against
- 6.75 / 2.99
Defense pair
138:45 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 185 / 90
- Fenwick for / against
- 134 / 64
- Corsi share
- 67.3%
- Fenwick share
- 67.7%
- xG for / against
- 9.04 / 5.64
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Buffalo Sabres · Last start: Jan 17
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 165
- Save %
- 89.7
- Goals allowed
- 17
- Close-range shots %
- 35.2
Frederik Andersen
Carolina Hurricanes · Last start: Jan 17
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 123
- Save %
- 87.0
- Goals allowed
- 16
- Close-range shots %
- 44.7
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 19, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Buffalo Sabres
- xG for / game
- 3.21
- xG against / game
- 3.16
- xG differential / game
- 0.05
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Carolina Hurricanes
- xG for / game
- 3.71
- xG against / game
- 2.90
- xG differential / game
- 0.81
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 19, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Buffalo Sabres
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 55.8
- Corsi share (%)
- 47.9
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.8
- Faceoff win %
- 48.9
- Penalties / game
- 3.4
Shots / game: 26.0 · Shooting: 15.8% · Avg distance: 33.6 ft
Carolina Hurricanes
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 66.2
- Corsi share (%)
- 58.3
- Fenwick share (%)
- 58.3
- Faceoff win %
- 54.1
- Penalties / game
- 3.9
Shots / game: 32.5 · Shooting: 12.6% · Avg distance: 33.7 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
BUF
|
Metric |
CAR
|
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Points | 22 |
| 0.542 | Points % | 0.786 |
| 33 | Goals for | 53 |
| 41 | Goals against | 34 |
| -8 | Goal differential | 19 |
| W1 | Current streak | W2 |
Road versus home
|
BUF road
|
Metric |
CAR home
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games | 5 |
| 2 | Wins | 3 |
| 7 | Points | 7 |
| -3 | Goal differential | 4 |
Last 10 games
|
BUF
|
Metric |
CAR
|
|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | Record | 8-1-1 |
| 11 | Points | 17 |
| 26 | Goals for | 42 |
| 32 | Goals against | 22 |
| -6 | Goal differential | 20 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
BUF
5 wins
10
games reviewed
CAR
5 wins
Total goals28 – 33
Goal differential
-5
/
+5
Goals per game2.8 / 3.3
Shots per game23.5 / 33.6
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2025 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
1 - 4 | 30 - 21 | View |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
3 - 6 | 22 - 35 | View |
| Apr 8, 2025 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
0 - 3 | 33 - 18 | View |
| Feb 27, 2025 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
2 - 5 | 15 - 37 | View |
| Jan 15, 2025 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
2 - 4 | 37 - 24 | View |
| Feb 25, 2024 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
2 - 3 | 32 - 32 | View |
| Dec 2, 2023 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
2 - 6 | 22 - 37 | View |
| Nov 7, 2023 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
2 - 3 | 21 - 27 | View |
| Apr 8, 2023 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
3 - 4 | 34 - 30 | View |
| Feb 1, 2023 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
5 - 1 | 34 - 30 | View |