Forward trio
73:49 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 70 / 61
- Fenwick for / against
- 49 / 49
- Corsi share
- 53.4%
- Fenwick share
- 50.0%
- xG for / against
- 3.09 / 2.68
Boston Bruins vs Washington Capitals prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 14, 2026
NHL matchup
Boston Bruins at Washington Capitals
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 14, 2026.
March 14, 2026
· 2:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 14. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Boston Bruins
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
106:59 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 114 / 105
- Fenwick for / against
- 80 / 75
- Corsi share
- 52.1%
- Fenwick share
- 51.6%
- xG for / against
- 5.11 / 4.83
Washington Capitals
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
35:59 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 36 / 27
- Fenwick for / against
- 32 / 17
- Corsi share
- 57.1%
- Fenwick share
- 65.3%
- xG for / against
- 2.49 / 1.50
Defense pair
68:40 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 71 / 65
- Fenwick for / against
- 54 / 51
- Corsi share
- 52.2%
- Fenwick share
- 51.4%
- xG for / against
- 3.19 / 4.47
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Jeremy Swayman
Boston Bruins · Last start: Mar 12
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 118
- Save %
- 92.4
- Goals allowed
- 9
- Close-range shots %
- 31.4
Charlie Lindgren
Washington Capitals · Last start: Mar 12
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 158
- Save %
- 88.0
- Goals allowed
- 19
- Close-range shots %
- 31.6
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 14, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Boston Bruins
- xG for / game
- 3.12
- xG against / game
- 3.58
- xG differential / game
- -0.46
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Washington Capitals
- xG for / game
- 3.23
- xG against / game
- 3.30
- xG differential / game
- -0.06
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 14, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Boston Bruins
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 62.9
- Corsi share (%)
- 50.1
- Fenwick share (%)
- 49.0
- Faceoff win %
- 54.4
- Penalties / game
- 4.4
Shots / game: 28.6 · Shooting: 10.5% · Avg distance: 31.9 ft
Washington Capitals
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 57.8
- Corsi share (%)
- 49.1
- Fenwick share (%)
- 51.0
- Faceoff win %
- 51.4
- Penalties / game
- 3.2
Shots / game: 26.8 · Shooting: 10.1% · Avg distance: 34.3 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
BOS
|
Metric |
WSH
|
|---|---|---|
| 19 | Points | 12 |
| 0.731 | Points % | 0.600 |
| 49 | Goals for | 34 |
| 28 | Goals against | 32 |
| 21 | Goal differential | 2 |
| L1 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
BOS road
|
Metric |
WSH home
|
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Games | 7 |
| 4 | Wins | 5 |
| 9 | Points | 10 |
| 4 | Goal differential | 3 |
Last 10 games
|
BOS
|
Metric |
WSH
|
|---|---|---|
| 7-2-1 | Record | 6-4-0 |
| 15 | Points | 12 |
| 41 | Goals for | 34 |
| 21 | Goals against | 32 |
| 20 | Goal differential | 2 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
BOS
5 wins
10
games reviewed
WSH
5 wins
Total goals23 – 21
Goal differential
+2
/
-2
Goals per game2.3 / 2.1
Shots per game26.0 / 25.3
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 |
Washington Capitals
at
Boston Bruins
|
1 - 3 | 23 - 30 | View |
| Oct 8, 2025 |
Boston Bruins
at
Washington Capitals
|
3 - 1 | 22 - 36 | View |
| Apr 1, 2025 |
Washington Capitals
at
Boston Bruins
|
4 - 3 | 32 - 24 | View |
| Dec 31, 2024 |
Boston Bruins
at
Washington Capitals
|
1 - 3 | 27 - 27 | View |
| Dec 23, 2024 |
Washington Capitals
at
Boston Bruins
|
1 - 4 | 11 - 22 | View |
| Apr 15, 2024 |
Boston Bruins
at
Washington Capitals
|
0 - 2 | 16 - 25 | View |
| Mar 30, 2024 |
Boston Bruins
at
Washington Capitals
|
3 - 2 | 29 - 20 | View |
| Feb 10, 2024 |
Washington Capitals
at
Boston Bruins
|
3 - 0 | 29 - 18 | View |
| Apr 11, 2023 |
Washington Capitals
at
Boston Bruins
|
2 - 5 | 27 - 44 | View |
| Feb 11, 2023 |
Washington Capitals
at
Boston Bruins
|
2 - 1 | 23 - 28 | View |