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Boston Bruins vs St. Louis Blues prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 29, 2026

NHL matchup

Boston Bruins at St. Louis Blues

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 29, 2026.

October 29, 2026 · 7:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick: Boston Bruins at 53.1%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

St. Louis Blues logo
Home team

St. Louis Blues

46.9%
Fair American +113
Fair decimal 2.13
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 29, 2026.

All Model Picks

Bets
8
Record
6-2
Net units
3.03
ROI
37.9%

Value Picks

Bets
7
Record
4-3
Net units
0.79
ROI
11.3%

Market Favourite

Bets
6
Record
6-0
Net units
4.68
ROI
78.1%

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 29. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Boston Bruins

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

113:24 together · 9 games

xG share48.5%
Corsi for / against
96 / 122
Fenwick for / against
70 / 81
Corsi share
44.0%
Fenwick share
46.4%
xG for / against
5.44 / 5.77
All observed combinations

St. Louis Blues

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

113:14 together · 10 games

xG share49.2%
Corsi for / against
104 / 102
Fenwick for / against
75 / 86
Corsi share
50.5%
Fenwick share
46.6%
xG for / against
5.79 / 5.98
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Jeremy Swayman

Boston Bruins · Last start: Oct 24

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
131
Save %
90.8
Goals allowed
12
Close-range shots %
32.8

Joel Hofer

St. Louis Blues · Last start: Oct 24

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
157
Save %
91.1
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
34.4
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 29, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Boston Bruins

xG for / game
3.30
xG against / game
3.04
xG differential / game
0.27

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

St. Louis Blues

xG for / game
2.90
xG against / game
2.82
xG differential / game
0.08

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 29, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Boston Bruins

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
51.2
Corsi share (%)
46.5
Fenwick share (%)
48.4
Faceoff win %
54.0
Penalties / game
5.0

Shots / game: 26.2 · Shooting: 15.6% · Avg distance: 31.3 ft

St. Louis Blues

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
54.5
Corsi share (%)
49.7
Fenwick share (%)
47.5
Faceoff win %
49.9
Penalties / game
2.9

Shots / game: 26.7 · Shooting: 11.6% · Avg distance: 31.9 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Boston Bruins BOS
Metric
St. Louis Blues STL
19Points11
0.792Points %0.500
48Goals for35
26Goals against35
22Goal differential0
W2Current streakL1
Road versus home
Boston Bruins BOS road
Metric
St. Louis Blues STL home
6Games5
4Wins3
9Points7
5Goal differential2
Last 10 games
Boston Bruins BOS
Metric
St. Louis Blues STL
7-2-1Record4-5-1
15Points9
41Goals for31
23Goals against35
18Goal differential-4
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Boston Bruins BOS 7 wins
10 games reviewed
St. Louis Blues STL 3 wins
Total goals32 – 27
Goal differential +5 / -5
Goals per game3.2 / 2.7
Shots per game32.2 / 28.0
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Dec 9, 2025
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
5 - 2 31 - 26 View
Dec 4, 2025
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
2 - 5 39 - 27 View
Nov 16, 2024
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
3 - 2 31 - 18 View
Nov 12, 2024
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
3 - 2 30 - 22 View
Mar 11, 2024
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
5 - 1 22 - 37 View
Jan 13, 2024
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
4 - 3 35 - 23 View
Apr 2, 2023
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
4 - 3 31 - 38 View
Nov 7, 2022
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
1 - 3 27 - 37 View
Apr 19, 2022
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
3 - 2 35 - 22 View
Apr 12, 2022
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
4 - 2 30 - 41 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.