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Boston Bruins vs Philadelphia Flyers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for April 5, 2026

NHL matchup

Boston Bruins at Philadelphia Flyers

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for April 5, 2026.

April 5, 2026 · 2:30 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 5. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Boston Bruins

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

134:31 together · 10 games

xG share53.1%
Corsi for / against
130 / 123
Fenwick for / against
104 / 91
Corsi share
51.4%
Fenwick share
53.3%
xG for / against
7.00 / 6.20
All observed combinations

Philadelphia Flyers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

143:27 together · 10 games

xG share62.0%
Corsi for / against
144 / 131
Fenwick for / against
107 / 99
Corsi share
52.4%
Fenwick share
51.9%
xG for / against
7.83 / 4.80
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Jeremy Swayman

Boston Bruins · Last start: Apr 4

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
139
Save %
90.6
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
30.9

Dan Vladar

Philadelphia Flyers · Last start: Apr 3

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
118
Save %
89.0
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
22.0
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 5, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Boston Bruins

xG for / game
3.45
xG against / game
3.56
xG differential / game
-0.11

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Philadelphia Flyers

xG for / game
3.74
xG against / game
2.30
xG differential / game
1.44

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 5, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Boston Bruins

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
59.6
Corsi share (%)
50.1
Fenwick share (%)
50.4
Faceoff win %
57.5
Penalties / game
3.3

Shots / game: 27.8 · Shooting: 12.6% · Avg distance: 34.8 ft

Philadelphia Flyers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
58.2
Corsi share (%)
52.2
Fenwick share (%)
54.6
Faceoff win %
50.7
Penalties / game
3.8

Shots / game: 27.9 · Shooting: 12.2% · Avg distance: 31.4 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Boston Bruins BOS
Metric
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
19Points9
0.792Points %0.346
48Goals for24
26Goals against42
22Goal differential-18
W2Current streakL1
Road versus home
Boston Bruins BOS road
Metric
Philadelphia Flyers PHI home
6Games7
4Wins2
9Points6
5Goal differential-10
Last 10 games
Boston Bruins BOS
Metric
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
7-2-1Record3-6-1
15Points7
41Goals for20
23Goals against29
18Goal differential-9
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Boston Bruins BOS 7 wins
10 games reviewed
Philadelphia Flyers PHI 3 wins
Total goals39 – 24
Goal differential +15 / -15
Goals per game3.9 / 2.4
Shots per game28.2 / 27.9
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Feb 28, 2026
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
1 - 3 27 - 17 View
Jan 29, 2026
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
3 - 6 36 - 27 View
Dec 7, 2024
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
3 - 4 26 - 31 View
Nov 2, 2024
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
3 - 0 31 - 20 View
Oct 29, 2024
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
2 - 0 19 - 25 View
Mar 23, 2024
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
2 - 3 20 - 29 View
Mar 16, 2024
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
5 - 6 29 - 30 View
Jan 27, 2024
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
6 - 2 28 - 37 View
Apr 9, 2023
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
5 - 3 34 - 37 View
Jan 16, 2023
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
0 - 6 29 - 29 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.