Forward trio
74:25 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 63 / 65
- Fenwick for / against
- 50 / 47
- Corsi share
- 49.2%
- Fenwick share
- 51.5%
- xG for / against
- 3.11 / 3.70
Boston Bruins vs Philadelphia Flyers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 28, 2026
NHL matchup
Boston Bruins at Philadelphia Flyers
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 28, 2026.
February 28, 2026
· 2:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 28. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Boston Bruins
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
123:27 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 105 / 108
- Fenwick for / against
- 74 / 77
- Corsi share
- 49.3%
- Fenwick share
- 49.0%
- xG for / against
- 5.21 / 5.29
Philadelphia Flyers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
69:49 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 68 / 71
- Fenwick for / against
- 47 / 53
- Corsi share
- 48.9%
- Fenwick share
- 47.0%
- xG for / against
- 4.28 / 2.52
Defense pair
105:06 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 78 / 90
- Fenwick for / against
- 54 / 57
- Corsi share
- 46.4%
- Fenwick share
- 48.6%
- xG for / against
- 4.12 / 3.08
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Joonas Korpisalo
Boston Bruins · Last start: Feb 26
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 128
- Save %
- 89.8
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 43.0
Samuel Ersson
Philadelphia Flyers · Last start: Feb 26
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 129
- Save %
- 85.3
- Goals allowed
- 19
- Close-range shots %
- 29.5
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 28, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Boston Bruins
- xG for / game
- 2.95
- xG against / game
- 3.66
- xG differential / game
- -0.70
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Philadelphia Flyers
- xG for / game
- 3.10
- xG against / game
- 2.76
- xG differential / game
- 0.34
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 28, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Boston Bruins
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 53.3
- Corsi share (%)
- 45.1
- Fenwick share (%)
- 44.6
- Faceoff win %
- 49.6
- Penalties / game
- 4.9
Shots / game: 25.5 · Shooting: 15.7% · Avg distance: 33.0 ft
Philadelphia Flyers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 51.4
- Corsi share (%)
- 47.0
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.1
- Faceoff win %
- 46.7
- Penalties / game
- 2.8
Shots / game: 24.0 · Shooting: 11.7% · Avg distance: 32.0 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
BOS
|
Metric |
PHI
|
|---|---|---|
| 19 | Points | 10 |
| 0.731 | Points % | 0.357 |
| 49 | Goals for | 27 |
| 28 | Goals against | 46 |
| 21 | Goal differential | -19 |
| L1 | Current streak | OT1 |
Road versus home
|
BOS road
|
Metric |
PHI home
|
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Games | 8 |
| 4 | Wins | 2 |
| 9 | Points | 7 |
| 4 | Goal differential | -11 |
Last 10 games
|
BOS
|
Metric |
PHI
|
|---|---|---|
| 7-2-1 | Record | 3-5-2 |
| 15 | Points | 8 |
| 41 | Goals for | 22 |
| 21 | Goals against | 29 |
| 20 | Goal differential | -7 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
BOS
8 wins
10
games reviewed
PHI
2 wins
Total goals42 – 22
Goal differential
+20
/
-20
Goals per game4.2 / 2.2
Shots per game28.7 / 28.5
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Boston Bruins
|
3 - 6 | 36 - 27 | View |
| Dec 7, 2024 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Boston Bruins
|
3 - 4 | 26 - 31 | View |
| Nov 2, 2024 |
Boston Bruins
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
3 - 0 | 31 - 20 | View |
| Oct 29, 2024 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Boston Bruins
|
2 - 0 | 19 - 25 | View |
| Mar 23, 2024 |
Boston Bruins
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
2 - 3 | 20 - 29 | View |
| Mar 16, 2024 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Boston Bruins
|
5 - 6 | 29 - 30 | View |
| Jan 27, 2024 |
Boston Bruins
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
6 - 2 | 28 - 37 | View |
| Apr 9, 2023 |
Boston Bruins
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
5 - 3 | 34 - 37 | View |
| Jan 16, 2023 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Boston Bruins
|
0 - 6 | 29 - 29 | View |
| Nov 17, 2022 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Boston Bruins
|
1 - 4 | 23 - 32 | View |