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Boston Bruins vs New York Rangers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 3, 2027

NHL matchup

Boston Bruins at New York Rangers

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 3, 2027.

March 3, 2027 · 6:00 PM CST
Away

Boston Bruins

9-3-1

40.6%
at
Home

New York Rangers

7-6-1

59.4% Model pick
Model V2 pick: New York Rangers at 59.4%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

New York Rangers logo
Home team

New York Rangers

59.4%
Fair American -146
Fair decimal 1.68
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Mar 3, 2027.

Boston Bruins

All Model Picks

Bets
8
Record
6-2
Net units
3.03
ROI
37.9%

Value Picks

Bets
8
Record
4-4
Net units
-0.21
ROI
-2.6%

Market Favourite

Bets
6
Record
6-0
Net units
4.68
ROI
78.1%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 3. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Boston Bruins

This selection is unavailable until complete validated shift records cover every selected game.

All observed combinations

New York Rangers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

146:33 together · 10 games

xG share60.5%
Corsi for / against
147 / 153
Fenwick for / against
107 / 98
Corsi share
49.0%
Fenwick share
52.2%
xG for / against
7.76 / 5.06
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Jeremy Swayman

Boston Bruins · Last start: Oct 27

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
146
Save %
91.1
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
34.9

James Reimer

New York Rangers · Last start: Oct 26

1 / 1 appearances covered

Shots faced
8
Save %
62.5
Goals allowed
3
Close-range shots %
37.5
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 3, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Boston Bruins

xG for / game
3.22
xG against / game
3.21
xG differential / game
0.02

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

New York Rangers

xG for / game
3.27
xG against / game
2.91
xG differential / game
0.36

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 3, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Boston Bruins

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
50.0
Corsi share (%)
45.5
Fenwick share (%)
46.7
Faceoff win %
54.4
Penalties / game
5.2

Shots / game: 25.0 · Shooting: 16.4% · Avg distance: 31.1 ft

New York Rangers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
54.8
Corsi share (%)
49.0
Fenwick share (%)
48.3
Faceoff win %
54.2
Penalties / game
3.8

Shots / game: 25.4 · Shooting: 13.0% · Avg distance: 29.6 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Boston Bruins BOS
Metric
New York Rangers NYR
19Points15
0.731Points %0.536
49Goals for44
28Goals against42
21Goal differential2
L1Current streakL3
Road versus home
Boston Bruins BOS road
Metric
New York Rangers NYR home
7Games7
4Wins6
9Points12
4Goal differential16
Last 10 games
Boston Bruins BOS
Metric
New York Rangers NYR
7-2-1Record4-5-1
15Points9
41Goals for33
21Goals against36
20Goal differential-3
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Boston Bruins BOS 3 wins
10 games reviewed
New York Rangers NYR 7 wins
Total goals34 – 34
Goal differential 0 / 0
Goals per game3.4 / 3.4
Shots per game25.6 / 29.6
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Sep 29, 2026
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
0 - 3 24 - 23 View
Jan 26, 2026
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at New York Rangers New York Rangers
3 - 4 24 - 28 View
Jan 10, 2026
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
2 - 10 29 - 34 View
Nov 28, 2025
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
6 - 2 36 - 21 View
Feb 5, 2025
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at New York Rangers New York Rangers
2 - 3 17 - 22 View
Feb 1, 2025
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
3 - 6 25 - 25 View
Jan 2, 2025
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at New York Rangers New York Rangers
1 - 2 33 - 27 View
Mar 21, 2024
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
5 - 2 31 - 26 View
Dec 16, 2023
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
2 - 1 34 - 22 View
Nov 25, 2023
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at New York Rangers New York Rangers
4 - 7 31 - 40 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings BOS NYR