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Boston Bruins vs New York Islanders prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 22, 2026

NHL matchup

Boston Bruins at New York Islanders

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 22, 2026.

December 22, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Away

Boston Bruins

9-2-1

45.2%
at
Home

New York Islanders

5-4-2

54.8% Model pick
Model V2 pick: New York Islanders at 54.8%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

New York Islanders logo
Home team

New York Islanders

54.8%
Fair American -121
Fair decimal 1.82
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 22, 2026.

Boston Bruins

All Model Picks

Bets
8
Record
6-2
Net units
3.03
ROI
37.9%

Value Picks

Bets
7
Record
4-3
Net units
0.79
ROI
11.3%

Market Favourite

Bets
6
Record
6-0
Net units
4.68
ROI
78.1%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 22. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Boston Bruins

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

113:24 together · 9 games

xG share48.5%
Corsi for / against
96 / 122
Fenwick for / against
70 / 81
Corsi share
44.0%
Fenwick share
46.4%
xG for / against
5.44 / 5.77
All observed combinations

New York Islanders

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

54:55 together · 7 games

xG share46.9%
Corsi for / against
51 / 56
Fenwick for / against
37 / 43
Corsi share
47.7%
Fenwick share
46.3%
xG for / against
2.96 / 3.35
Defense pair

121:23 together · 10 games

xG share56.3%
Corsi for / against
126 / 86
Fenwick for / against
86 / 63
Corsi share
59.4%
Fenwick share
57.7%
xG for / against
5.72 / 4.44
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Jeremy Swayman

Boston Bruins · Last start: Oct 24

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
131
Save %
90.8
Goals allowed
12
Close-range shots %
32.8

Ilya Sorokin

New York Islanders · Last start: Oct 25

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
135
Save %
88.9
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
28.1
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 22, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Boston Bruins

xG for / game
3.30
xG against / game
3.04
xG differential / game
0.26

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

New York Islanders

xG for / game
2.97
xG against / game
3.30
xG differential / game
-0.33

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 22, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Boston Bruins

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
51.1
Corsi share (%)
46.5
Fenwick share (%)
48.3
Faceoff win %
54.0
Penalties / game
5.0

Shots / game: 26.2 · Shooting: 15.6% · Avg distance: 31.2 ft

New York Islanders

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
54.0
Corsi share (%)
49.2
Fenwick share (%)
48.7
Faceoff win %
56.0
Penalties / game
4.5

Shots / game: 25.9 · Shooting: 12.0% · Avg distance: 33.5 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Boston Bruins BOS
Metric
New York Islanders NYI
19Points12
0.792Points %0.545
48Goals for32
26Goals against29
22Goal differential3
W2Current streakL1
Road versus home
Boston Bruins BOS road
Metric
New York Islanders NYI home
6Games6
4Wins4
9Points9
5Goal differential8
Last 10 games
Boston Bruins BOS
Metric
New York Islanders NYI
7-2-1Record5-3-2
15Points12
41Goals for31
23Goals against27
18Goal differential4
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Boston Bruins BOS 7 wins
10 games reviewed
New York Islanders NYI 3 wins
Total goals40 – 29
Goal differential +11 / -11
Goals per game4.0 / 2.9
Shots per game27.2 / 31.3
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Nov 26, 2025
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at New York Islanders New York Islanders
3 - 1 14 - 44 View
Nov 4, 2025
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at New York Islanders New York Islanders
4 - 3 27 - 33 View
Oct 28, 2025
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
2 - 5 35 - 22 View
Feb 27, 2025
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
2 - 1 20 - 39 View
Jan 5, 2025
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
5 - 4 37 - 30 View
Nov 27, 2024
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at New York Islanders New York Islanders
6 - 3 21 - 24 View
Mar 2, 2024
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at New York Islanders New York Islanders
1 - 5 23 - 26 View
Dec 15, 2023
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at New York Islanders New York Islanders
5 - 4 34 - 37 View
Nov 9, 2023
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
2 - 5 29 - 35 View
Feb 18, 2023
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
2 - 6 28 - 27 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings BOS NYI