Forward trio
95:14 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 82 / 85
- Fenwick for / against
- 59 / 67
- Corsi share
- 49.1%
- Fenwick share
- 46.8%
- xG for / against
- 3.67 / 3.89
Boston Bruins vs Montréal Canadiens prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 17, 2026
NHL matchup
Boston Bruins at Montréal Canadiens
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 17, 2026.
March 17, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 17. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Boston Bruins
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
114:00 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 113 / 108
- Fenwick for / against
- 79 / 83
- Corsi share
- 51.1%
- Fenwick share
- 48.8%
- xG for / against
- 4.93 / 5.22
Montréal Canadiens
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
71:42 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 73 / 65
- Fenwick for / against
- 49 / 44
- Corsi share
- 52.9%
- Fenwick share
- 52.7%
- xG for / against
- 4.04 / 3.00
Defense pair
89:26 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 95 / 79
- Fenwick for / against
- 70 / 56
- Corsi share
- 54.6%
- Fenwick share
- 55.6%
- xG for / against
- 5.47 / 4.77
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Joonas Korpisalo
Boston Bruins · Last start: Mar 16
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 166
- Save %
- 88.0
- Goals allowed
- 20
- Close-range shots %
- 39.2
Jacob Fowler
Montréal Canadiens · Last start: Mar 15
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 140
- Save %
- 90.0
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 27.1
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 17, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Boston Bruins
- xG for / game
- 2.94
- xG against / game
- 3.32
- xG differential / game
- -0.38
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Montréal Canadiens
- xG for / game
- 3.62
- xG against / game
- 3.55
- xG differential / game
- 0.07
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 17, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Boston Bruins
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 61.4
- Corsi share (%)
- 50.2
- Fenwick share (%)
- 49.8
- Faceoff win %
- 56.1
- Penalties / game
- 3.7
Shots / game: 27.9 · Shooting: 9.3% · Avg distance: 32.4 ft
Montréal Canadiens
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 59.4
- Corsi share (%)
- 48.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 49.2
- Faceoff win %
- 53.0
- Penalties / game
- 3.3
Shots / game: 27.7 · Shooting: 14.1% · Avg distance: 31.8 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
BOS
|
Metric |
MTL
|
|---|---|---|
| 19 | Points | 14 |
| 0.792 | Points % | 0.636 |
| 48 | Goals for | 36 |
| 26 | Goals against | 36 |
| 22 | Goal differential | 0 |
| W2 | Current streak | W2 |
Road versus home
|
BOS road
|
Metric |
MTL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games | 6 |
| 4 | Wins | 3 |
| 9 | Points | 7 |
| 5 | Goal differential | -3 |
Last 10 games
|
BOS
|
Metric |
MTL
|
|---|---|---|
| 7-2-1 | Record | 5-3-2 |
| 15 | Points | 12 |
| 41 | Goals for | 33 |
| 23 | Goals against | 34 |
| 18 | Goal differential | -1 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
BOS
7 wins
10
games reviewed
MTL
3 wins
Total goals40 – 32
Goal differential
+8
/
-8
Goals per game4.0 / 3.2
Shots per game28.2 / 25.5
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Boston Bruins
|
3 - 4 | 25 - 21 | View |
| Dec 23, 2025 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Boston Bruins
|
6 - 2 | 29 - 28 | View |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
Boston Bruins
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
3 - 2 | 23 - 28 | View |
| Apr 3, 2025 |
Boston Bruins
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
1 - 4 | 19 - 32 | View |
| Dec 1, 2024 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Boston Bruins
|
3 - 6 | 28 - 30 | View |
| Oct 10, 2024 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Boston Bruins
|
4 - 6 | 24 - 29 | View |
| Mar 14, 2024 |
Boston Bruins
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
2 - 1 | 24 - 19 | View |
| Jan 20, 2024 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Boston Bruins
|
4 - 9 | 21 - 36 | View |
| Nov 18, 2023 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Boston Bruins
|
2 - 5 | 22 - 44 | View |
| Nov 11, 2023 |
Boston Bruins
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
2 - 3 | 28 - 27 | View |