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Boston Bruins vs Minnesota Wild prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 3, 2026

NHL matchup

Boston Bruins at Minnesota Wild

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 3, 2026.

October 3, 2026 · 7:00 PM CST
Away

Boston Bruins

9-2-1

1
Final
Home

Minnesota Wild

8-3-2

4 Model pick
Model V2 pick: Minnesota Wild at 60.1% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Boston Bruins logo
Away team

Boston Bruins

39.9%
Fair American +151
Fair decimal 2.51
Best market +179 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 35.8%
Edge +4.1%
Expected value +11.3%
Calculate value
Minnesota Wild logo
Home team

Minnesota Wild

60.1%
Fair American -151
Fair decimal 1.66
Best market -195 · BetRivers
Market implied 66.1%
Edge -6.0%
Expected value -9.1%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 3, 2026.

Boston Bruins

All Model Picks

Bets
1
Record
1-0
Net units
0.93
ROI
92.6%

Value Picks

Bets
1
Record
1-0
Net units
0.93
ROI
92.6%

Market Favourite

Bets
1
Record
1-0
Net units
0.93
ROI
92.6%
Full team betting results

Minnesota Wild

All Model Picks

Bets
1
Record
1-0
Net units
0.71
ROI
71.4%

Value Picks

Bets
1
Record
1-0
Net units
0.71
ROI
71.4%

Market Favourite

Bets
1
Record
1-0
Net units
0.71
ROI
71.4%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 3. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Boston Bruins

2 / 2 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

22:35 together · 2 games

xG share59.8%
Corsi for / against
31 / 22
Fenwick for / against
25 / 15
Corsi share
58.5%
Fenwick share
62.5%
xG for / against
1.21 / 0.81
Defense pair

34:07 together · 2 games

xG share53.3%
Corsi for / against
33 / 26
Fenwick for / against
23 / 20
Corsi share
55.9%
Fenwick share
53.5%
xG for / against
1.39 / 1.22
All observed combinations

Minnesota Wild

1 / 1 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trioUnder 10 minutes

7:30 together · 1 game

xG share30.9%
Corsi for / against
6 / 8
Fenwick for / against
4 / 7
Corsi share
42.9%
Fenwick share
36.4%
xG for / against
0.09 / 0.20
Defense pair

13:07 together · 1 game

xG share69.6%
Corsi for / against
19 / 11
Fenwick for / against
14 / 9
Corsi share
63.3%
Fenwick share
60.9%
xG for / against
0.88 / 0.39
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Jeremy Swayman

Boston Bruins · Last start: Oct 2

2 / 2 appearances covered

Shots faced
57
Save %
94.7
Goals allowed
3
Close-range shots %
31.6

Jesper Wallstedt

Minnesota Wild · Last start: Oct 1

1 / 1 appearances covered

Shots faced
20
Save %
95.0
Goals allowed
1
Close-range shots %
25.0
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 3, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Boston Bruins

xG for / game
2.93
xG against / game
3.13
xG differential / game
-0.20

2 / 2 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Minnesota Wild

xG for / game
3.30
xG against / game
1.69
xG differential / game
1.60

1 / 1 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 3, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Boston Bruins

2 / 2 games covered

Attempts / game
64.5
Corsi share (%)
52.4
Fenwick share (%)
51.7
Faceoff win %
50.9
Penalties / game
3.0

Shots / game: 26.5 · Shooting: 13.2% · Avg distance: 32.3 ft

Minnesota Wild

1 / 1 games covered

Attempts / game
62.0
Corsi share (%)
57.4
Fenwick share (%)
58.3
Faceoff win %
47.5
Penalties / game
4.0

Shots / game: 30.0 · Shooting: 10.0% · Avg distance: 32.0 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Boston Bruins BOS
Metric
Minnesota Wild MIN
19Points18
0.792Points %0.692
48Goals for41
26Goals against30
22Goal differential11
W2Current streakW2
Road versus home
Boston Bruins BOS road
Metric
Minnesota Wild MIN home
6Games4
4Wins4
9Points8
5Goal differential7
Last 10 games
Boston Bruins BOS
Metric
Minnesota Wild MIN
7-2-1Record6-3-1
15Points13
41Goals for32
23Goals against25
18Goal differential7
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Boston Bruins BOS 4 wins
10 games reviewed
Minnesota Wild MIN 6 wins
Total goals29 – 29
Goal differential 0 / 0
Goals per game2.9 / 2.9
Shots per game33.4 / 31.0
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 28, 2026
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
3 - 6 34 - 31 View
Dec 14, 2025
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
2 - 6 31 - 31 View
Mar 2, 2025
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
0 - 1 28 - 22 View
Feb 4, 2025
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
0 - 3 36 - 35 View
Dec 23, 2023
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
2 - 3 21 - 35 View
Dec 19, 2023
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
4 - 3 30 - 43 View
Mar 18, 2023
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
5 - 2 38 - 31 View
Oct 22, 2022
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
3 - 4 27 - 43 View
Mar 16, 2022
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
2 - 4 26 - 34 View
Jan 6, 2022
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
3 - 2 30 - 38 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings BOS MIN