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Boston Bruins vs Los Angeles Kings prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 17, 2026

NHL matchup

Boston Bruins at Los Angeles Kings

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 17, 2026.

October 17, 2026 · 8:00 PM CST
Away

Boston Bruins

9-3-1

4 Model pick
Final
Home

Los Angeles Kings

3-6-2

1
Model V2 pick: Boston Bruins at 53.0% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Boston Bruins logo
Away team

Boston Bruins

53.0%
Fair American -113
Fair decimal 1.89
Best market +120 · BetRivers
Market implied 45.5%
Edge +7.5%
Expected value +16.6%
Calculate value
Los Angeles Kings logo
Home team

Los Angeles Kings

47.0%
Fair American +113
Fair decimal 2.13
Best market -133 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 57.1%
Edge -10.1%
Expected value -17.7%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 17, 2026.

Boston Bruins

All Model Picks

Bets
4
Record
3-1
Net units
1.59
ROI
39.7%

Value Picks

Bets
5
Record
3-2
Net units
0.59
ROI
11.8%

Market Favourite

Bets
4
Record
4-0
Net units
3.44
ROI
86.1%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 17. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Boston Bruins

8 / 8 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

54:12 together · 7 games

xG share53.5%
Corsi for / against
57 / 56
Fenwick for / against
37 / 38
Corsi share
50.4%
Fenwick share
49.3%
xG for / against
3.04 / 2.64
Defense pair

93:35 together · 6 games

xG share59.2%
Corsi for / against
88 / 75
Fenwick for / against
65 / 59
Corsi share
54.0%
Fenwick share
52.4%
xG for / against
4.52 / 3.11
All observed combinations

Los Angeles Kings

5 / 5 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

47:22 together · 5 games

xG share34.9%
Corsi for / against
33 / 50
Fenwick for / against
26 / 38
Corsi share
39.8%
Fenwick share
40.6%
xG for / against
1.17 / 2.17
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Boston Bruins

Jeremy Swayman 96.0%
Other eligible goalies

Why Jeremy Swayman?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Goalie team start share
+0.909
Team played yesterday
+0.769
Days since last start
+0.551
Consecutive starts
+0.495
Started last game
+0.439
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 17, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

Los Angeles Kings

Darcy Kuemper 54.7%
Other eligible goalies

Why Darcy Kuemper?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Goalie team start share
+0.830
Team win pct before
+0.426
Goalie win pct before
-0.320
Rolling 5 game avg save pct
-0.315
Days since last start
+0.313
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 17, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Michael DiPietro

Boston Bruins · Last start: Oct 16

2 / 2 appearances covered

Shots faced
57
Save %
91.2
Goals allowed
5
Close-range shots %
36.8

Darcy Kuemper

Los Angeles Kings · Last start: Oct 13

4 / 4 appearances covered

Shots faced
98
Save %
84.7
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
28.6
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 17, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Boston Bruins

xG for / game
3.06
xG against / game
2.98
xG differential / game
0.08

8 / 8 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Los Angeles Kings

xG for / game
2.73
xG against / game
2.52
xG differential / game
0.20

5 / 5 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 17, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Boston Bruins

8 / 8 games covered

Attempts / game
51.9
Corsi share (%)
46.7
Fenwick share (%)
48.0
Faceoff win %
52.9
Penalties / game
4.88

Shots / game: 25.1 · Shooting: 14.9% · Avg distance: 31.4 ft

Los Angeles Kings

5 / 5 games covered

Attempts / game
63.4
Corsi share (%)
54.9
Fenwick share (%)
55.7
Faceoff win %
54.1
Penalties / game
4.4

Shots / game: 30.6 · Shooting: 7.2% · Avg distance: 33.6 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Boston Bruins BOS
Metric
Los Angeles Kings LAK
19Points8
0.731Points %0.364
49Goals for28
28Goals against37
21Goal differential-9
L1Current streakL1
Road versus home
Boston Bruins BOS road
Metric
Los Angeles Kings LAK home
7Games3
4Wins0
9Points0
4Goal differential-7
Last 10 games
Boston Bruins BOS
Metric
Los Angeles Kings LAK
7-2-1Record3-5-2
15Points8
41Goals for24
21Goals against29
20Goal differential-5
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Boston Bruins BOS 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Los Angeles Kings LAK 4 wins
Total goals32 – 25
Goal differential +7 / -7
Goals per game3.2 / 2.5
Shots per game26.6 / 29.4
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 10, 2026
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
1 - 2 15 - 23 View
Nov 21, 2025
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
2 - 1 26 - 32 View
Mar 23, 2025
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
2 - 7 13 - 23 View
Oct 12, 2024
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
1 - 2 34 - 26 View
Feb 17, 2024
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
5 - 4 35 - 32 View
Oct 21, 2023
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
4 - 2 25 - 34 View
Jan 5, 2023
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
5 - 2 22 - 29 View
Dec 15, 2022
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
3 - 2 30 - 35 View
Mar 7, 2022
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
3 - 2 28 - 32 View
Feb 28, 2022
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
7 - 0 32 - 34 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings BOS LAK