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Boston Bruins vs Florida Panthers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 4, 2026

NHL matchup

Boston Bruins at Florida Panthers

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 4, 2026.

February 4, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 4. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Boston Bruins

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

128:24 together · 10 games

xG share51.3%
Corsi for / against
111 / 110
Fenwick for / against
79 / 81
Corsi share
50.2%
Fenwick share
49.4%
xG for / against
5.38 / 5.11
All observed combinations

Florida Panthers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

156:38 together · 10 games

xG share51.4%
Corsi for / against
137 / 125
Fenwick for / against
97 / 96
Corsi share
52.3%
Fenwick share
50.3%
xG for / against
6.02 / 5.69
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Jeremy Swayman

Boston Bruins · Last start: Feb 1

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
171
Save %
88.9
Goals allowed
19
Close-range shots %
33.3

Sergei Bobrovsky

Florida Panthers · Last start: Feb 2

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
108
Save %
85.2
Goals allowed
16
Close-range shots %
42.6
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 4, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Boston Bruins

xG for / game
2.93
xG against / game
3.49
xG differential / game
-0.56

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Florida Panthers

xG for / game
2.95
xG against / game
2.86
xG differential / game
0.08

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 4, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Boston Bruins

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
52.6
Corsi share (%)
45.4
Fenwick share (%)
45.3
Faceoff win %
50.1
Penalties / game
4.8

Shots / game: 26.8 · Shooting: 14.6% · Avg distance: 34.4 ft

Florida Panthers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
57.9
Corsi share (%)
54.7
Fenwick share (%)
53.8
Faceoff win %
46.8
Penalties / game
5.5

Shots / game: 28.2 · Shooting: 9.9% · Avg distance: 32.4 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Boston Bruins BOS
Metric
Florida Panthers FLA
19Points16
0.731Points %0.615
49Goals for39
28Goals against37
21Goal differential2
L1Current streakW2
Road versus home
Boston Bruins BOS road
Metric
Florida Panthers FLA home
7Games3
4Wins2
9Points4
4Goal differential3
Last 10 games
Boston Bruins BOS
Metric
Florida Panthers FLA
7-2-1Record6-4-0
15Points12
41Goals for33
21Goals against30
20Goal differential3
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Boston Bruins BOS 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Florida Panthers FLA 4 wins
Total goals33 – 31
Goal differential +2 / -2
Goals per game3.3 / 3.1
Shots per game26.9 / 30.8
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Oct 21, 2025
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
4 - 3 23 - 31 View
Mar 11, 2025
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
2 - 3 28 - 24 View
Jan 11, 2025
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
4 - 3 18 - 43 View
Oct 14, 2024
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
4 - 3 26 - 27 View
Oct 8, 2024
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
4 - 6 28 - 35 View
Apr 6, 2024
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
2 - 3 30 - 29 View
Mar 26, 2024
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
4 - 3 21 - 21 View
Nov 22, 2023
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
3 - 1 25 - 28 View
Oct 30, 2023
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
2 - 3 37 - 26 View
Jan 28, 2023
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
3 - 4 40 - 37 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.