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Boston Bruins vs Dallas Stars prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 20, 2026

NHL matchup

Boston Bruins at Dallas Stars

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 20, 2026.

January 20, 2026 · 6:30 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 20. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Boston Bruins

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

99:23 together · 7 games

xG share58.3%
Corsi for / against
107 / 89
Fenwick for / against
81 / 62
Corsi share
54.6%
Fenwick share
56.6%
xG for / against
5.35 / 3.82
All observed combinations

Dallas Stars

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

78:53 together · 10 games

xG share65.5%
Corsi for / against
85 / 59
Fenwick for / against
64 / 49
Corsi share
59.0%
Fenwick share
56.6%
xG for / against
4.34 / 2.28
Defense pair

105:30 together · 8 games

xG share53.9%
Corsi for / against
77 / 76
Fenwick for / against
51 / 48
Corsi share
50.3%
Fenwick share
51.5%
xG for / against
4.23 / 3.61
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Joonas Korpisalo

Boston Bruins · Last start: Jan 17

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
130
Save %
91.5
Goals allowed
11
Close-range shots %
30.0

Jake Oettinger

Dallas Stars · Last start: Jan 18

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
120
Save %
87.5
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
26.7
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 20, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Boston Bruins

xG for / game
3.14
xG against / game
2.92
xG differential / game
0.22

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Dallas Stars

xG for / game
3.07
xG against / game
3.19
xG differential / game
-0.12

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 20, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Boston Bruins

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
59.7
Corsi share (%)
50.3
Fenwick share (%)
51.1
Faceoff win %
53.7
Penalties / game
4.5

Shots / game: 28.4 · Shooting: 14.4% · Avg distance: 34.0 ft

Dallas Stars

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
50.4
Corsi share (%)
46.3
Fenwick share (%)
45.3
Faceoff win %
48.6
Penalties / game
3.7

Shots / game: 25.1 · Shooting: 9.6% · Avg distance: 32.4 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Boston Bruins BOS
Metric
Dallas Stars DAL
19Points15
0.731Points %0.625
49Goals for33
28Goals against25
21Goal differential8
L1Current streakL1
Road versus home
Boston Bruins BOS road
Metric
Dallas Stars DAL home
7Games7
4Wins4
9Points8
4Goal differential1
Last 10 games
Boston Bruins BOS
Metric
Dallas Stars DAL
7-2-1Record7-2-1
15Points15
41Goals for32
21Goals against19
20Goal differential13
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Boston Bruins BOS 7 wins
10 games reviewed
Dallas Stars DAL 3 wins
Total goals27 – 31
Goal differential -4 / +4
Goals per game2.7 / 3.1
Shots per game29.1 / 33.5
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Nov 14, 2024
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
2 - 7 25 - 38 View
Oct 24, 2024
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
5 - 2 32 - 27 View
Feb 19, 2024
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
3 - 4 46 - 30 View
Nov 6, 2023
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
3 - 2 29 - 37 View
Feb 14, 2023
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
3 - 2 37 - 31 View
Oct 25, 2022
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
1 - 3 31 - 29 View
Jan 30, 2022
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
1 - 6 26 - 29 View
Oct 16, 2021
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
1 - 3 28 - 40 View
Feb 27, 2020
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
3 - 4 34 - 28 View
Oct 3, 2019
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
2 - 1 20 - 29 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.