Away team
Boston Bruins
35.8%
Fair American
+179
Fair decimal
2.79
Boston Bruins vs Colorado Avalanche prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 20, 2027
NHL matchup
Boston Bruins at Colorado Avalanche
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 20, 2027.
January 20, 2027
· 8:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Colorado Avalanche at 64.2%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Colorado Avalanche
64.2%
Fair American
-179
Fair decimal
1.56
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Jan 20, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 8
- Record
- 6-2
- Net units
- 3.03
- ROI
- 37.9%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 8
- Record
- 4-4
- Net units
- -0.21
- ROI
- -2.6%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 6-0
- Net units
- 4.68
- ROI
- 78.1%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 12
- Record
- 7-5
- Net units
- -0.77
- ROI
- -6.4%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 0.68
- ROI
- 22.8%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 12
- Record
- 7-5
- Net units
- -0.77
- ROI
- -6.4%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 20. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Boston Bruins
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
78:24 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 70 / 83
- Fenwick for / against
- 49 / 47
- Corsi share
- 45.8%
- Fenwick share
- 51.0%
- xG for / against
- 4.06 / 3.21
Defense pair
123:25 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 100 / 131
- Fenwick for / against
- 72 / 89
- Corsi share
- 43.3%
- Fenwick share
- 44.7%
- xG for / against
- 5.76 / 6.36
Colorado Avalanche
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
80:19 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 97 / 78
- Fenwick for / against
- 76 / 59
- Corsi share
- 55.4%
- Fenwick share
- 56.3%
- xG for / against
- 5.47 / 4.32
Defense pair
98:06 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 133 / 83
- Fenwick for / against
- 92 / 68
- Corsi share
- 61.6%
- Fenwick share
- 57.5%
- xG for / against
- 6.24 / 4.56
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Boston Bruins
Expected starter unavailable.
Colorado Avalanche
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Jeremy Swayman
Boston Bruins · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 146
- Save %
- 91.1
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 34.9
Mackenzie Blackwood
Colorado Avalanche · Last start: Oct 28
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 138
- Save %
- 91.3
- Goals allowed
- 12
- Close-range shots %
- 39.1
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 20, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Boston Bruins
- xG for / game
- 3.23
- xG against / game
- 3.21
- xG differential / game
- 0.02
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Colorado Avalanche
- xG for / game
- 3.19
- xG against / game
- 2.93
- xG differential / game
- 0.26
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 20, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Boston Bruins
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 50.1
- Corsi share (%)
- 45.5
- Fenwick share (%)
- 46.7
- Faceoff win %
- 54.4
- Penalties / game
- 5.2
Shots / game: 25.1 · Shooting: 16.3% · Avg distance: 31.0 ft
Colorado Avalanche
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 62.9
- Corsi share (%)
- 52.3
- Fenwick share (%)
- 52.1
- Faceoff win %
- 46.6
- Penalties / game
- 4.0
Shots / game: 29.6 · Shooting: 12.8% · Avg distance: 32.7 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
BOS
|
Metric |
COL
|
|---|---|---|
| 19 | Points | 15 |
| 0.731 | Points % | 0.577 |
| 49 | Goals for | 54 |
| 28 | Goals against | 42 |
| 21 | Goal differential | 12 |
| L1 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
BOS road
|
Metric |
COL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Games | 7 |
| 4 | Wins | 5 |
| 9 | Points | 11 |
| 4 | Goal differential | 14 |
Last 10 games
|
BOS
|
Metric |
COL
|
|---|---|---|
| 7-2-1 | Record | 5-4-1 |
| 15 | Points | 11 |
| 41 | Goals for | 38 |
| 21 | Goals against | 34 |
| 20 | Goal differential | 4 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
BOS
7 wins
10
games reviewed
COL
3 wins
Total goals37 – 22
Goal differential
+15
/
-15
Goals per game3.7 / 2.2
Shots per game28.5 / 31.0
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Boston Bruins
|
2 - 3 | 33 - 19 | View |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
Boston Bruins
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
1 - 4 | 14 - 38 | View |
| Jan 25, 2025 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Boston Bruins
|
1 - 3 | 28 - 15 | View |
| Oct 16, 2024 |
Boston Bruins
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
5 - 3 | 26 - 25 | View |
| Jan 18, 2024 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Boston Bruins
|
2 - 5 | 32 - 31 | View |
| Jan 8, 2024 |
Boston Bruins
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
3 - 4 | 26 - 36 | View |
| Dec 7, 2022 |
Boston Bruins
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
4 - 0 | 37 - 23 | View |
| Dec 3, 2022 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Boston Bruins
|
1 - 5 | 25 - 40 | View |
| Feb 21, 2022 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Boston Bruins
|
1 - 5 | 29 - 45 | View |
| Jan 26, 2022 |
Boston Bruins
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
3 - 4 | 32 - 41 | View |