Forward trio
98:46 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 79 / 102
- Fenwick for / against
- 60 / 80
- Corsi share
- 43.6%
- Fenwick share
- 42.9%
- xG for / against
- 3.79 / 5.05
Boston Bruins vs Buffalo Sabres prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 25, 2026
NHL matchup
Boston Bruins at Buffalo Sabres
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 25, 2026.
March 25, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 25. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Boston Bruins
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
123:12 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 111 / 118
- Fenwick for / against
- 75 / 94
- Corsi share
- 48.5%
- Fenwick share
- 44.4%
- xG for / against
- 5.30 / 5.76
Buffalo Sabres
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
91:13 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 90 / 81
- Fenwick for / against
- 69 / 59
- Corsi share
- 52.6%
- Fenwick share
- 53.9%
- xG for / against
- 5.58 / 3.54
Defense pair
120:06 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 124 / 78
- Fenwick for / against
- 96 / 61
- Corsi share
- 61.4%
- Fenwick share
- 61.1%
- xG for / against
- 5.52 / 4.97
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Jeremy Swayman
Boston Bruins · Last start: Mar 24
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 161
- Save %
- 93.2
- Goals allowed
- 11
- Close-range shots %
- 37.3
Alex Lyon
Buffalo Sabres · Last start: Mar 22
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 119
- Save %
- 89.1
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 32.8
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 25, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Boston Bruins
- xG for / game
- 3.30
- xG against / game
- 3.68
- xG differential / game
- -0.38
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Buffalo Sabres
- xG for / game
- 3.18
- xG against / game
- 2.93
- xG differential / game
- 0.25
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 25, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Boston Bruins
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 57.7
- Corsi share (%)
- 48.1
- Fenwick share (%)
- 47.1
- Faceoff win %
- 53.6
- Penalties / game
- 3.6
Shots / game: 28.0 · Shooting: 10.7% · Avg distance: 32.6 ft
Buffalo Sabres
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 59.7
- Corsi share (%)
- 52.1
- Fenwick share (%)
- 52.7
- Faceoff win %
- 49.7
- Penalties / game
- 4.8
Shots / game: 28.5 · Shooting: 14.4% · Avg distance: 32.5 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
BOS
|
Metric |
BUF
|
|---|---|---|
| 19 | Points | 11 |
| 0.792 | Points % | 0.500 |
| 48 | Goals for | 31 |
| 26 | Goals against | 41 |
| 22 | Goal differential | -10 |
| W2 | Current streak | OT1 |
Road versus home
|
BOS road
|
Metric |
BUF home
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games | 6 |
| 4 | Wins | 3 |
| 9 | Points | 6 |
| 5 | Goal differential | -5 |
Last 10 games
|
BOS
|
Metric |
BUF
|
|---|---|---|
| 7-2-1 | Record | 4-3-3 |
| 15 | Points | 11 |
| 41 | Goals for | 28 |
| 23 | Goals against | 35 |
| 18 | Goal differential | -7 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
BOS
5 wins
10
games reviewed
BUF
5 wins
Total goals28 – 31
Goal differential
-3
/
+3
Goals per game2.8 / 3.1
Shots per game25.0 / 31.1
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 |
Boston Bruins
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
1 - 4 | 22 - 34 | View |
| Oct 30, 2025 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Boston Bruins
|
3 - 4 | 40 - 22 | View |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Boston Bruins
|
1 - 3 | 22 - 31 | View |
| Apr 6, 2025 |
Boston Bruins
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
3 - 6 | 20 - 37 | View |
| Mar 17, 2025 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Boston Bruins
|
3 - 2 | 30 - 20 | View |
| Jan 28, 2025 |
Boston Bruins
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
2 - 7 | 27 - 33 | View |
| Dec 21, 2024 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Boston Bruins
|
1 - 3 | 20 - 19 | View |
| Dec 27, 2023 |
Boston Bruins
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
4 - 1 | 25 - 26 | View |
| Dec 7, 2023 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Boston Bruins
|
3 - 1 | 35 - 32 | View |
| Nov 14, 2023 |
Boston Bruins
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
5 - 2 | 32 - 34 | View |