Washington Capitals vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for April 8, 2026

NHL matchup

Washington Capitals at Toronto Maple Leafs

View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for April 8, 2026.

April 8, 2026 · 6:30 PM CST
Away

Washington Capitals

43-30-9
at
Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

32-36-14
Model favourite Washington Capitals at 50.3%
Prediction

Model versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Washington Capitals logo
Away team

Washington Capitals

50.3%
Fair American -101
Fair decimal 1.99
Best market -143 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 58.8%
Edge -8.5%
Expected value -14.5%
Calculate value
Toronto Maple Leafs logo
Home team

Toronto Maple Leafs

49.7%
Fair American +101
Fair decimal 2.01
Best market +130 · Bovada
Market implied 43.5%
Edge +6.2%
Expected value +14.3%
Calculate value
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Washington Capitals WSH
Metric
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
95Points78
0.579Points %0.476
263Goals for253
244Goals against299
19Goal differential-46
W4Current streakL5
Road versus home
Washington Capitals WSH road
Metric
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR home
41Games41
18Wins18
40Points44
-11Goal differential-10
Last 10 games
Washington Capitals WSH
Metric
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
8-2-0Record2-7-1
16Points5
43Goals for28
33Goals against47
10Goal differential-19
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Washington Capitals WSH 5 wins
10 games reviewed
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR 5 wins
Total goals30 – 32
Goal differential -2 / +2
Goals per game3.0 / 3.2
Shots per game28.3 / 29.3
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Dec 18, 2025
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
0 - 4 22 - 29 View
Nov 28, 2025
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
2 - 4 22 - 34 View
Dec 28, 2024
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
5 - 2 32 - 37 View
Dec 6, 2024
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
3 - 1 26 - 21 View
Nov 13, 2024
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
4 - 3 34 - 27 View
Mar 28, 2024
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
1 - 5 24 - 48 View
Mar 20, 2024
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
7 - 3 29 - 21 View
Oct 24, 2023
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
4 - 1 17 - 38 View
Jan 29, 2023
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
1 - 5 24 - 27 View
Dec 17, 2022
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
2 - 5 36 - 28 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings WSH TOR