Washington Capitals vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for April 8, 2026

Get the playerWON NHL prediction for the Washington Capitals at Toronto Maple Leafs matchup on April 8, 2026. playerWONโ€™s machine-learning model currently gives the Washington Capitals a 50.3% win probability.

๐Ÿค– Model favours Washington Capitals (50.3%)
Compare market odds, fair odds, and value below.
April 8, 2026
Visitor Model vs Market
Washington Capitals logo
Washington Capitals
50.3%
Fair American: -101
Fair Decimal: 1.99
Best Market: -143 ยท BetOnline.ag
Market Implied: 58.8%
Edge: -8.5%
EV: -14.5%
Calculate Value โ†’
Home Model vs Market
Toronto Maple Leafs logo
Toronto Maple Leafs
49.7%
Fair American: +101
Fair Decimal: 2.01
Best Market: +130 ยท Bovada
Market Implied: 43.5%
Edge: +6.2%
EV: +14.3%
Calculate Value โ†’
๐Ÿ“Š Season Overview
Washington Capitals WSH
Metric
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
95 Points 78
0.579 Points % 0.476
263 Goals For 253
244 Goals Against 299
19 Goal Differential -46
W4 Current Streak L5
๐Ÿš Road vs ๐Ÿ  Home
Washington Capitals WSH (Road)
Metric
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR (Home)
41 Games 41
18 Wins 18
40 Points 44
-11 Goal Differential -10
๐Ÿ”ฅ Last 10 Games
Washington Capitals WSH
Metric
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
8-2-0 Record 2-7-1
16 Points 5
43 Goals For 28
33 Goals Against 47
10 Goal Differential -19
๐Ÿฅ… Last 10 Head-to-Head Games
Washington Capitals WSH
H2H Summary
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
5-5 Record 5-5
30 Total Goals 32
-2 Goal Differential +2
3.0 Goals / Game 3.2
28.3 Shots / Game 29.3
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Dec 18, 2025
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs @ Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
Toronto Maple Leafs @ Washington Capitals
0 - 4 22 - 29 View
Nov 28, 2025
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs @ Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
Toronto Maple Leafs @ Washington Capitals
2 - 4 22 - 34 View
Dec 28, 2024
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals @ Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
Washington Capitals @ Toronto Maple Leafs
5 - 2 32 - 37 View
Dec 6, 2024
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals @ Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
Washington Capitals @ Toronto Maple Leafs
3 - 1 26 - 21 View
Nov 13, 2024
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs @ Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
Toronto Maple Leafs @ Washington Capitals
4 - 3 34 - 27 View
Mar 28, 2024
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals @ Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
Washington Capitals @ Toronto Maple Leafs
1 - 5 24 - 48 View
Mar 20, 2024
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs @ Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
Toronto Maple Leafs @ Washington Capitals
7 - 3 29 - 21 View
Oct 24, 2023
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs @ Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
Toronto Maple Leafs @ Washington Capitals
4 - 1 17 - 38 View
Jan 29, 2023
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals @ Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
Washington Capitals @ Toronto Maple Leafs
1 - 5 24 - 27 View
Dec 17, 2022
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs @ Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
Toronto Maple Leafs @ Washington Capitals
2 - 5 36 - 28 View

This matchup prediction is generated using playerWONโ€™s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.