Washington Capitals vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for April 8, 2026
Get the playerWON NHL prediction for the Washington Capitals at Toronto Maple Leafs matchup on April 8, 2026. playerWONโs machine-learning model currently gives the Washington Capitals a 50.3% win probability.
๐ค Model favours Washington Capitals
(50.3%)
Compare market odds, fair odds, and value below.
April 8, 2026
Visitor Model vs Market
Washington Capitals
50.3%
Fair American: -101
Fair Decimal: 1.99
Best Market: -143 ยท BetOnline.ag
Market Implied: 58.8%
Edge: -8.5%
EV: -14.5%
Calculate Value โ
Home Model vs Market
Toronto Maple Leafs
49.7%
Fair American: +101
Fair Decimal: 2.01
Best Market: +130 ยท Bovada
Market Implied: 43.5%
Edge: +6.2%
EV: +14.3%
Calculate Value โ
๐ Season Overview
|
|
Metric |
|
|---|---|---|
| 95 | Points | 78 |
| 0.579 | Points % | 0.476 |
| 263 | Goals For | 253 |
| 244 | Goals Against | 299 |
| 19 | Goal Differential | -46 |
| W4 | Current Streak | L5 |
๐ Road vs ๐ Home
|
|
Metric |
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 18 | Wins | 18 |
| 40 | Points | 44 |
| -11 | Goal Differential | -10 |
๐ฅ Last 10 Games
|
|
Metric |
|
|---|---|---|
| 8-2-0 | Record | 2-7-1 |
| 16 | Points | 5 |
| 43 | Goals For | 28 |
| 33 | Goals Against | 47 |
| 10 | Goal Differential | -19 |
๐ฅ
Last 10 Head-to-Head Games
|
|
H2H Summary |
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-5 | Record | 5-5 |
| 30 | Total Goals | 32 |
| -2 | Goal Differential | +2 |
| 3.0 | Goals / Game | 3.2 |
| 28.3 | Shots / Game | 29.3 |
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 |
|
0 - 4 | 22 - 29 | View |
| Nov 28, 2025 |
|
2 - 4 | 22 - 34 | View |
| Dec 28, 2024 |
|
5 - 2 | 32 - 37 | View |
| Dec 6, 2024 |
|
3 - 1 | 26 - 21 | View |
| Nov 13, 2024 |
|
4 - 3 | 34 - 27 | View |
| Mar 28, 2024 |
|
1 - 5 | 24 - 48 | View |
| Mar 20, 2024 |
|
7 - 3 | 29 - 21 | View |
| Oct 24, 2023 |
|
4 - 1 | 17 - 38 | View |
| Jan 29, 2023 |
|
1 - 5 | 24 - 27 | View |
| Dec 17, 2022 |
|
2 - 5 | 36 - 28 | View |
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWONโs machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.