Washington Capitals vs Philadelphia Flyers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 11, 2026
Get the playerWON NHL prediction for the Washington Capitals at Philadelphia Flyers matchup on March 11, 2026. playerWON’s machine-learning model currently gives the Washington Capitals a 56.4% win probability.
🤖 Model favours Washington Capitals
(56.4%)
Compare market odds, fair odds, and value below.
March 11, 2026
Visitor Model vs Market
Washington Capitals
56.4%
Fair American: -129
Fair Decimal: 1.77
Calculate Value →
Home Model vs Market
Philadelphia Flyers
43.6%
Fair American: +129
Fair Decimal: 2.29
Calculate Value →
📊 Season Overview
|
WSH
|
Metric |
PHI
|
|---|---|---|
| 95 | Points | 98 |
| 0.579 | Points % | 0.598 |
| 263 | Goals For | 250 |
| 244 | Goals Against | 243 |
| 19 | Goal Differential | 7 |
| W4 | Current Streak | W3 |
🚍 Road vs 🏠 Home
|
WSH (Road)
|
Metric |
PHI (Home)
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 18 | Wins | 20 |
| 40 | Points | 48 |
| -11 | Goal Differential | -2 |
🔥 Last 10 Games
|
WSH
|
Metric |
PHI
|
|---|---|---|
| 8-2-0 | Record | 7-3-0 |
| 16 | Points | 14 |
| 43 | Goals For | 36 |
| 33 | Goals Against | 25 |
| 10 | Goal Differential | 11 |
🥅 Last 10 Head-to-Head Games
|
WSH
|
H2H Summary |
PHI
|
|---|---|---|
| 7-3 | Record | 3-7 |
| 33 | Total Goals | 24 |
| +9 | Goal Differential | -9 |
| 3.3 | Goals / Game | 2.4 |
| 25.4 | Shots / Game | 25.1 |
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 |
Philadelphia Flyers
@
Washington Capitals
@
|
1 - 3 | 24 - 29 | View |
| Feb 3, 2026 |
Washington Capitals
@
Philadelphia Flyers
@
|
2 - 4 | 28 - 22 | View |
| Mar 20, 2025 |
Philadelphia Flyers
@
Washington Capitals
@
|
2 - 3 | 28 - 16 | View |
| Feb 6, 2025 |
Washington Capitals
@
Philadelphia Flyers
@
|
4 - 3 | 18 - 22 | View |
| Oct 23, 2024 |
Philadelphia Flyers
@
Washington Capitals
@
|
3 - 6 | 29 - 25 | View |
| Oct 22, 2024 |
Washington Capitals
@
Philadelphia Flyers
@
|
4 - 1 | 29 - 18 | View |
| Apr 16, 2024 |
Washington Capitals
@
Philadelphia Flyers
@
|
2 - 1 | 18 - 28 | View |
| Mar 1, 2024 |
Philadelphia Flyers
@
Washington Capitals
@
|
2 - 5 | 23 - 21 | View |
| Dec 14, 2023 |
Washington Capitals
@
Philadelphia Flyers
@
|
3 - 4 | 30 - 32 | View |
| Jan 14, 2023 |
Philadelphia Flyers
@
Washington Capitals
@
|
3 - 1 | 25 - 40 | View |
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.