Washington Capitals vs Montréal Canadiens prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 28, 2026
Get the playerWON NHL prediction for the Washington Capitals at Montréal Canadiens matchup on February 28, 2026. playerWON’s machine-learning model currently gives the Montréal Canadiens a 58.7% win probability.
🤖 Model favours Montréal Canadiens
(58.7%)
Compare market odds, fair odds, and value below.
February 28, 2026
Visitor Model vs Market
Washington Capitals
41.3%
Fair American: +142
Fair Decimal: 2.42
Calculate Value →
Home Model vs Market
Montréal Canadiens
58.7%
Fair American: -142
Fair Decimal: 1.7
Calculate Value →
📊 Season Overview
|
WSH
|
Metric |
MTL
|
|---|---|---|
| 95 | Points | 106 |
| 0.579 | Points % | 0.646 |
| 263 | Goals For | 283 |
| 244 | Goals Against | 256 |
| 19 | Goal Differential | 27 |
| W4 | Current Streak | L1 |
🚍 Road vs 🏠 Home
|
WSH (Road)
|
Metric |
MTL (Home)
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 18 | Wins | 24 |
| 40 | Points | 50 |
| -11 | Goal Differential | 10 |
🔥 Last 10 Games
|
WSH
|
Metric |
MTL
|
|---|---|---|
| 8-2-0 | Record | 7-3-0 |
| 16 | Points | 14 |
| 43 | Goals For | 28 |
| 33 | Goals Against | 24 |
| 10 | Goal Differential | 4 |
🥅 Last 10 Head-to-Head Games
|
WSH
|
H2H Summary |
MTL
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-4 | Record | 4-6 |
| 42 | Total Goals | 33 |
| +9 | Goal Differential | -9 |
| 4.2 | Goals / Game | 3.3 |
| 33.6 | Shots / Game | 27.3 |
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 |
Montréal Canadiens
@
Washington Capitals
@
|
2 - 3 | 26 - 42 | View |
| Nov 20, 2025 |
Washington Capitals
@
Montréal Canadiens
@
|
8 - 4 | 36 - 28 | View |
| Jan 10, 2025 |
Montréal Canadiens
@
Washington Capitals
@
|
3 - 2 | 30 - 17 | View |
| Dec 7, 2024 |
Washington Capitals
@
Montréal Canadiens
@
|
4 - 2 | 35 - 24 | View |
| Oct 31, 2024 |
Montréal Canadiens
@
Washington Capitals
@
|
3 - 6 | 15 - 34 | View |
| Feb 17, 2024 |
Washington Capitals
@
Montréal Canadiens
@
|
4 - 3 | 34 - 31 | View |
| Feb 6, 2024 |
Montréal Canadiens
@
Washington Capitals
@
|
5 - 2 | 26 - 39 | View |
| Oct 21, 2023 |
Washington Capitals
@
Montréal Canadiens
@
|
2 - 3 | 33 - 28 | View |
| Apr 6, 2023 |
Washington Capitals
@
Montréal Canadiens
@
|
2 - 6 | 26 - 32 | View |
| Dec 31, 2022 |
Montréal Canadiens
@
Washington Capitals
@
|
2 - 9 | 33 - 40 | View |
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.