Washington Capitals vs Colorado Avalanche prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 19, 2026

NHL matchup

Washington Capitals at Colorado Avalanche

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 19, 2026.

January 19, 2026 · 3:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Logan Thompson

Washington Capitals · Last start: Jan 17

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
139
Save %
91.4
Goals allowed
12
Close-range shots %
31.7

Mackenzie Blackwood

Colorado Avalanche · Last start: Jan 16

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
133
Save %
91.0
Goals allowed
12
Close-range shots %
30.8
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 19, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Washington Capitals

xG for / game
2.92
xG against / game
3.23
xG differential / game
-0.31

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Colorado Avalanche

xG for / game
3.43
xG against / game
2.61
xG differential / game
0.81

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 19, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Washington Capitals

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
56.2
Attempt share
48.1
Faceoff win %
51.1
Penalties / game
4.3

Shots / game: 28.8 · Shooting: 11.5% · Avg distance: 35.3 ft

Colorado Avalanche

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
70.1
Attempt share
56.2
Faceoff win %
53.7
Penalties / game
2.9

Shots / game: 34.6 · Shooting: 12.1% · Avg distance: 35.3 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Washington Capitals WSH
Metric
Colorado Avalanche COL
8Points9
0.571Points %0.643
24Goals for31
22Goals against22
2Goal differential9
W1Current streakOT1
Road versus home
Washington Capitals WSH road
Metric
Colorado Avalanche COL home
3Games4
1Wins2
2Points5
-1Goal differential5
Last 10 games
Washington Capitals WSH
Metric
Colorado Avalanche COL
4-3-0Record4-2-1
8Points9
24Goals for31
22Goals against22
2Goal differential9
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Washington Capitals WSH 4 wins
10 games reviewed
Colorado Avalanche COL 6 wins
Total goals28 – 36
Goal differential -8 / +8
Goals per game2.8 / 3.6
Shots per game30.9 / 28.1
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Nov 21, 2024
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
2 - 1 27 - 29 View
Nov 15, 2024
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
5 - 2 20 - 19 View
Feb 13, 2024
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
6 - 3 37 - 27 View
Jan 24, 2024
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
2 - 6 25 - 31 View
Jan 24, 2023
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
2 - 3 39 - 26 View
Nov 19, 2022
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
4 - 0 29 - 32 View
Apr 18, 2022
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
3 - 2 27 - 26 View
Oct 19, 2021
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
3 - 6 27 - 40 View
Feb 13, 2020
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
3 - 2 38 - 34 View
Oct 14, 2019
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
6 - 3 25 - 32 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.