Vegas Golden Knights vs Detroit Red Wings prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 4, 2026
Get the playerWON NHL prediction for the Vegas Golden Knights at Detroit Red Wings matchup on March 4, 2026. playerWON’s machine-learning model currently gives the Detroit Red Wings a 51.2% win probability.
🤖 Model favours Detroit Red Wings
(51.2%)
Compare market odds, fair odds, and value below.
March 4, 2026
Visitor Model vs Market
Vegas Golden Knights
48.8%
Fair American: +105
Fair Decimal: 2.05
Calculate Value →
Home Model vs Market
Detroit Red Wings
51.2%
Fair American: -105
Fair Decimal: 1.95
Calculate Value →
📊 Season Overview
|
VGK
|
Metric |
DET
|
|---|---|---|
| 91 | Points | 91 |
| 0.569 | Points % | 0.569 |
| 255 | Goals For | 237 |
| 247 | Goals Against | 246 |
| 8 | Goal Differential | -9 |
| W1 | Current Streak | L1 |
🚍 Road vs 🏠 Home
|
VGK (Road)
|
Metric |
DET (Home)
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 19 | Wins | 21 |
| 46 | Points | 46 |
| -4 | Goal Differential | -10 |
🔥 Last 10 Games
|
VGK
|
Metric |
DET
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-1-3 | Record | 3-6-1 |
| 15 | Points | 7 |
| 34 | Goals For | 32 |
| 28 | Goals Against | 38 |
| 6 | Goal Differential | -6 |
🥅 Last 10 Head-to-Head Games
|
VGK
|
H2H Summary |
DET
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-5 | Record | 5-5 |
| 29 | Total Goals | 28 |
| +1 | Goal Differential | -1 |
| 2.9 | Goals / Game | 2.8 |
| 30.5 | Shots / Game | 26.4 |
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2025 |
Detroit Red Wings
@
Vegas Golden Knights
@
|
0 - 1 | 24 - 34 | View |
| Mar 22, 2025 |
Detroit Red Wings
@
Vegas Golden Knights
@
|
3 - 6 | 31 - 36 | View |
| Mar 16, 2025 |
Vegas Golden Knights
@
Detroit Red Wings
@
|
0 - 3 | 18 - 27 | View |
| Mar 9, 2024 |
Detroit Red Wings
@
Vegas Golden Knights
@
|
3 - 5 | 26 - 36 | View |
| Jan 27, 2024 |
Vegas Golden Knights
@
Detroit Red Wings
@
|
2 - 5 | 30 - 29 | View |
| Jan 19, 2023 |
Detroit Red Wings
@
Vegas Golden Knights
@
|
3 - 2 | 25 - 35 | View |
| Dec 3, 2022 |
Vegas Golden Knights
@
Detroit Red Wings
@
|
4 - 1 | 25 - 25 | View |
| Nov 18, 2021 |
Detroit Red Wings
@
Vegas Golden Knights
@
|
2 - 5 | 28 - 32 | View |
| Nov 7, 2021 |
Vegas Golden Knights
@
Detroit Red Wings
@
|
2 - 5 | 40 - 30 | View |
| Nov 10, 2019 |
Vegas Golden Knights
@
Detroit Red Wings
@
|
2 - 3 | 19 - 19 | View |
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.