Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Islanders prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for April 9, 2026
Get the playerWON NHL prediction for the Toronto Maple Leafs at New York Islanders matchup on April 9, 2026. playerWON’s machine-learning model currently gives the New York Islanders a 60.4% win probability.
🤖 Model favours New York Islanders
(60.4%)
Compare market odds, fair odds, and value below.
April 9, 2026
Visitor Model vs Market
Toronto Maple Leafs
39.6%
Fair American: +153
Fair Decimal: 2.53
Best Market: +220 · BetMGM
Market Implied: 31.2%
Edge: +8.4%
EV: +26.7%
Calculate Value →
Home Model vs Market
New York Islanders
60.4%
Fair American: -153
Fair Decimal: 1.66
Best Market: -255 · BetOnline.ag
Market Implied: 71.8%
Edge: -11.4%
EV: -15.9%
Calculate Value →
📊 Season Overview
|
TOR
|
Metric |
NYI
|
|---|---|---|
| 78 | Points | 91 |
| 0.476 | Points % | 0.555 |
| 253 | Goals For | 233 |
| 299 | Goals Against | 241 |
| -46 | Goal Differential | -8 |
| L5 | Current Streak | L3 |
🚍 Road vs 🏠 Home
|
TOR (Road)
|
Metric |
NYI (Home)
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 14 | Wins | 22 |
| 34 | Points | 46 |
| -36 | Goal Differential | -2 |
🔥 Last 10 Games
|
TOR
|
Metric |
NYI
|
|---|---|---|
| 2-7-1 | Record | 3-7-0 |
| 5 | Points | 6 |
| 28 | Goals For | 24 |
| 47 | Goals Against | 35 |
| -19 | Goal Differential | -11 |
🥅 Last 10 Head-to-Head Games
|
TOR
|
H2H Summary |
NYI
|
|---|---|---|
| 3-7 | Record | 7-3 |
| 27 | Total Goals | 35 |
| -8 | Goal Differential | +8 |
| 2.7 | Goals / Game | 3.5 |
| 31.0 | Shots / Game | 30.7 |
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 |
New York Islanders
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
3 - 1 | 34 - 27 | View |
| Jan 3, 2026 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
New York Islanders
@
|
3 - 4 | 21 - 25 | View |
| Jan 2, 2025 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
New York Islanders
@
|
2 - 1 | 31 - 33 | View |
| Dec 31, 2024 |
New York Islanders
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
1 - 3 | 31 - 25 | View |
| Dec 21, 2024 |
New York Islanders
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
6 - 3 | 34 - 29 | View |
| Feb 5, 2024 |
New York Islanders
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
3 - 2 | 29 - 36 | View |
| Jan 11, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
New York Islanders
@
|
3 - 4 | 35 - 30 | View |
| Dec 11, 2023 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
New York Islanders
@
|
3 - 4 | 40 - 29 | View |
| Mar 21, 2023 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
New York Islanders
@
|
2 - 7 | 27 - 29 | View |
| Jan 23, 2023 |
New York Islanders
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
2 - 5 | 33 - 39 | View |
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.