Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Islanders prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for April 9, 2026

NHL matchup

Toronto Maple Leafs at New York Islanders

View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for April 9, 2026.

April 9, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

32-36-14
at
Home

New York Islanders

43-34-5
Model favourite New York Islanders at 60.4%
Prediction

Model versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Toronto Maple Leafs logo
Away team

Toronto Maple Leafs

39.6%
Fair American +153
Fair decimal 2.53
Best market +220 · BetMGM
Market implied 31.2%
Edge +8.4%
Expected value +26.7%
Calculate value
New York Islanders logo
Home team

New York Islanders

60.4%
Fair American -153
Fair decimal 1.66
Best market -255 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 71.8%
Edge -11.4%
Expected value -15.9%
Calculate value
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
Metric
New York Islanders NYI
78Points91
0.476Points %0.555
253Goals for233
299Goals against241
-46Goal differential-8
L5Current streakL3
Road versus home
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR road
Metric
New York Islanders NYI home
41Games41
14Wins22
34Points46
-36Goal differential-2
Last 10 games
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
Metric
New York Islanders NYI
2-7-1Record3-7-0
5Points6
28Goals for24
47Goals against35
-19Goal differential-11
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Toronto Maple Leafs TOR 3 wins
10 games reviewed
New York Islanders NYI 7 wins
Total goals27 – 35
Goal differential -8 / +8
Goals per game2.7 / 3.5
Shots per game31.0 / 30.7
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 17, 2026
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
3 - 1 34 - 27 View
Jan 3, 2026
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs at New York Islanders New York Islanders
3 - 4 21 - 25 View
Jan 2, 2025
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs at New York Islanders New York Islanders
2 - 1 31 - 33 View
Dec 31, 2024
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
1 - 3 31 - 25 View
Dec 21, 2024
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
6 - 3 34 - 29 View
Feb 5, 2024
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
3 - 2 29 - 36 View
Jan 11, 2024
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs at New York Islanders New York Islanders
3 - 4 35 - 30 View
Dec 11, 2023
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs at New York Islanders New York Islanders
3 - 4 40 - 29 View
Mar 21, 2023
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs at New York Islanders New York Islanders
2 - 7 27 - 29 View
Jan 23, 2023
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
2 - 5 33 - 39 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings TOR NYI