Toronto Maple Leafs vs New Jersey Devils prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 4, 2026
Get the playerWON NHL prediction for the Toronto Maple Leafs at New Jersey Devils matchup on March 4, 2026. playerWON’s machine-learning model currently gives the Toronto Maple Leafs a 53.9% win probability.
🤖 Model favours Toronto Maple Leafs
(53.9%)
Compare market odds, fair odds, and value below.
March 4, 2026
Visitor Model vs Market
Toronto Maple Leafs
53.9%
Fair American: -117
Fair Decimal: 1.86
Calculate Value →
Home Model vs Market
New Jersey Devils
46.1%
Fair American: +117
Fair Decimal: 2.17
Calculate Value →
📊 Season Overview
|
TOR
|
Metric |
NJD
|
|---|---|---|
| 78 | Points | 87 |
| 0.488 | Points % | 0.537 |
| 247 | Goals For | 230 |
| 290 | Goals Against | 250 |
| -43 | Goal Differential | -20 |
| L3 | Current Streak | W2 |
🚍 Road vs 🏠 Home
|
TOR (Road)
|
Metric |
NJD (Home)
|
|---|---|---|
| 40 | Games | 41 |
| 14 | Wins | 21 |
| 34 | Points | 45 |
| -34 | Goal Differential | -3 |
🔥 Last 10 Games
|
TOR
|
Metric |
NJD
|
|---|---|---|
| 3-6-1 | Record | 5-4-1 |
| 7 | Points | 11 |
| 28 | Goals For | 33 |
| 45 | Goals Against | 35 |
| -17 | Goal Differential | -2 |
🥅 Last 10 Head-to-Head Games
|
TOR
|
H2H Summary |
NJD
|
|---|---|---|
| 7-3 | Record | 3-7 |
| 35 | Total Goals | 29 |
| +6 | Goal Differential | -6 |
| 3.5 | Goals / Game | 2.9 |
| 29.6 | Shots / Game | 28.7 |
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2025 |
New Jersey Devils
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
0 - 4 | 33 - 30 | View |
| Oct 21, 2025 |
New Jersey Devils
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
5 - 2 | 35 - 25 | View |
| Jan 16, 2025 |
New Jersey Devils
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
3 - 4 | 24 - 41 | View |
| Dec 10, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
New Jersey Devils
@
|
2 - 1 | 17 - 39 | View |
| Oct 10, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
New Jersey Devils
@
|
4 - 2 | 22 - 23 | View |
| Apr 11, 2024 |
New Jersey Devils
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
6 - 5 | 20 - 32 | View |
| Apr 9, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
New Jersey Devils
@
|
5 - 2 | 39 - 20 | View |
| Mar 26, 2024 |
New Jersey Devils
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
6 - 3 | 25 - 45 | View |
| Mar 7, 2023 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
New Jersey Devils
@
|
4 - 3 | 25 - 33 | View |
| Nov 23, 2022 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
New Jersey Devils
@
|
2 - 1 | 20 - 35 | View |
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.