Tampa Bay Lightning vs St. Louis Blues prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 16, 2026
Get the playerWON NHL prediction for the Tampa Bay Lightning at St. Louis Blues matchup on January 16, 2026. playerWON’s machine-learning model currently gives the Tampa Bay Lightning a 59.2% win probability.
🤖 Model favours Tampa Bay Lightning
(59.2%)
Compare market odds, fair odds, and value below.
January 16, 2026
Visitor Model vs Market
Tampa Bay Lightning
59.2%
Fair American: -145
Fair Decimal: 1.69
Calculate Value →
📊 Season Overview
|
TBL
|
Metric |
STL
|
|---|---|---|
| 106 | Points | 86 |
| 0.646 | Points % | 0.524 |
| 290 | Goals For | 231 |
| 231 | Goals Against | 258 |
| 59 | Goal Differential | -27 |
| L1 | Current Streak | W4 |
🚍 Road vs 🏠 Home
|
TBL (Road)
|
Metric |
STL (Home)
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 24 | Wins | 20 |
| 53 | Points | 47 |
| 37 | Goal Differential | -10 |
🔥 Last 10 Games
|
TBL
|
Metric |
STL
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-5-0 | Record | 6-3-1 |
| 10 | Points | 13 |
| 26 | Goals For | 40 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 31 |
| -4 | Goal Differential | 9 |
🥅 Last 10 Head-to-Head Games
|
TBL
|
H2H Summary |
STL
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-4 | Record | 4-6 |
| 34 | Total Goals | 25 |
| +9 | Goal Differential | -9 |
| 3.4 | Goals / Game | 2.5 |
| 28.1 | Shots / Game | 28.3 |
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2025 |
St. Louis Blues
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
1 - 4 | 24 - 17 | View |
| Dec 19, 2024 |
St. Louis Blues
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
1 - 3 | 32 - 18 | View |
| Nov 5, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
St. Louis Blues
@
|
2 - 3 | 23 - 23 | View |
| Dec 19, 2023 |
St. Louis Blues
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
1 - 6 | 29 - 33 | View |
| Nov 14, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
St. Louis Blues
@
|
0 - 5 | 30 - 29 | View |
| Jan 14, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
St. Louis Blues
@
|
4 - 2 | 30 - 25 | View |
| Nov 25, 2022 |
St. Louis Blues
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
2 - 5 | 27 - 27 | View |
| Dec 2, 2021 |
St. Louis Blues
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
2 - 4 | 28 - 35 | View |
| Nov 30, 2021 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
St. Louis Blues
@
|
3 - 4 | 33 - 33 | View |
| Nov 27, 2019 |
St. Louis Blues
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
4 - 3 | 33 - 35 | View |
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.