Tampa Bay Lightning vs San Jose Sharks Prediction, Odds & Win Probability | January 3, 2026

January 3, 2026 · 3:00 PM CST

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

50-26-6

Home

San Jose Sharks

39-35-8

Model prediction is not available yet for this game.

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview

TBL	Metric	SJS
106	Points	86
0.646	Points %	0.524
290	Goals for	251
231	Goals against	292
59	Goal differential	-41
L1	Current streak	W1

Road versus home

TBL road	Metric	SJS home
41	Games	41
24	Wins	21
53	Points	48
37	Goal differential	-16

Last 10 games

TBL	Metric	SJS
5-5-0	Record	5-4-1
10	Points	11
26	Goals for	31
30	Goals against	35
-4	Goal differential	-4

History

Last 10 head-to-head games

TBL 8 wins

10 games reviewed

SJS 2 wins

Total goals46 – 15

Goal differential +31 / -31

Goals per game4.6 / 1.5

Shots per game31.1 / 25.7

Date	Matchup	Score	Shots	Details
Jan 2, 2025	Tampa Bay Lightning at San Jose Sharks	1 - 2	25 - 25	View
Dec 5, 2024	San Jose Sharks at Tampa Bay Lightning	1 - 8	21 - 35	View
Mar 21, 2024	Tampa Bay Lightning at San Jose Sharks	4 - 1	21 - 22	View
Oct 26, 2023	San Jose Sharks at Tampa Bay Lightning	0 - 6	23 - 31	View
Feb 7, 2023	San Jose Sharks at Tampa Bay Lightning	4 - 3	22 - 37	View
Oct 29, 2022	Tampa Bay Lightning at San Jose Sharks	4 - 3	26 - 27	View
Feb 1, 2022	San Jose Sharks at Tampa Bay Lightning	2 - 3	21 - 32	View
Jan 22, 2022	Tampa Bay Lightning at San Jose Sharks	7 - 1	31 - 28	View
Feb 1, 2020	Tampa Bay Lightning at San Jose Sharks	3 - 0	35 - 30	View
Dec 7, 2019	San Jose Sharks at Tampa Bay Lightning	1 - 7	38 - 38	View

This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs San Jose Sharks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 3, 2026

Tampa Bay Lightning at San Jose Sharks