Tampa Bay Lightning vs Minnesota Wild prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 3, 2026
Get the playerWON NHL prediction for the Tampa Bay Lightning at Minnesota Wild matchup on March 3, 2026. playerWON’s machine-learning model currently gives the Tampa Bay Lightning a 63.7% win probability.
🤖 Model favours Tampa Bay Lightning
(63.7%)
Compare market odds, fair odds, and value below.
March 3, 2026
Visitor Model vs Market
Tampa Bay Lightning
63.7%
Fair American: -175
Fair Decimal: 1.57
Calculate Value →
📊 Season Overview
|
TBL
|
Metric |
MIN
|
|---|---|---|
| 104 | Points | 102 |
| 0.650 | Points % | 0.638 |
| 284 | Goals For | 266 |
| 224 | Goals Against | 232 |
| 60 | Goal Differential | 34 |
| W1 | Current Streak | L2 |
🚍 Road vs 🏠 Home
|
TBL (Road)
|
Metric |
MIN (Home)
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 40 |
| 24 | Wins | 22 |
| 53 | Points | 52 |
| 37 | Goal Differential | 14 |
🔥 Last 10 Games
|
TBL
|
Metric |
MIN
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-4-1 | Record | 6-4-0 |
| 11 | Points | 12 |
| 27 | Goals For | 35 |
| 29 | Goals Against | 31 |
| -2 | Goal Differential | 4 |
🥅 Last 10 Head-to-Head Games
|
TBL
|
H2H Summary |
MIN
|
|---|---|---|
| 4-6 | Record | 6-4 |
| 34 | Total Goals | 36 |
| -2 | Goal Differential | +2 |
| 3.4 | Goals / Game | 3.6 |
| 30.6 | Shots / Game | 27.7 |
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Minnesota Wild
@
|
3 - 5 | 30 - 22 | View |
| Oct 24, 2024 |
Minnesota Wild
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
4 - 2 | 18 - 26 | View |
| Jan 18, 2024 |
Minnesota Wild
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
3 - 7 | 33 - 38 | View |
| Jan 4, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Minnesota Wild
@
|
4 - 1 | 30 - 23 | View |
| Jan 24, 2023 |
Minnesota Wild
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
2 - 4 | 35 - 39 | View |
| Jan 4, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Minnesota Wild
@
|
1 - 5 | 35 - 33 | View |
| Nov 28, 2021 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Minnesota Wild
@
|
2 - 4 | 30 - 37 | View |
| Nov 21, 2021 |
Minnesota Wild
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
4 - 5 | 32 - 24 | View |
| Jan 16, 2020 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Minnesota Wild
@
|
2 - 3 | 20 - 23 | View |
| Dec 5, 2019 |
Minnesota Wild
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
5 - 4 | 21 - 34 | View |
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.