Away team
Tampa Bay Lightning
50.5%
Fair American
-102
Fair decimal
1.98
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for September 26, 2026
NHL matchup
Tampa Bay Lightning at Florida Panthers
View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for September 26, 2026.
September 26, 2026
· 5:00 PM CST
Model favourite
Tampa Bay Lightning
at 50.5%
Prediction
Model versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Florida Panthers
49.5%
Fair American
+102
Fair decimal
2.02
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
TBL
|
Metric |
FLA
|
|---|---|---|
| 106 | Points | 84 |
| 0.646 | Points % | 0.512 |
| 290 | Goals for | 251 |
| 231 | Goals against | 276 |
| 59 | Goal differential | -25 |
| L1 | Current streak | W3 |
Road versus home
|
TBL road
|
Metric |
FLA home
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 24 | Wins | 23 |
| 53 | Points | 49 |
| 37 | Goal differential | 10 |
Last 10 games
|
TBL
|
Metric |
FLA
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-5-0 | Record | 5-4-1 |
| 10 | Points | 11 |
| 26 | Goals for | 36 |
| 30 | Goals against | 35 |
| -4 | Goal differential | 1 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
TBL
6 wins
10
games reviewed
FLA
4 wins
Total goals34 – 28
Goal differential
+6
/
-6
Goals per game3.4 / 2.8
Shots per game25.7 / 30.2
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 |
Florida Panthers
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
1 - 6 | 34 - 28 | View |
| Dec 27, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Florida Panthers
|
4 - 2 | 25 - 26 | View |
| Dec 15, 2025 |
Florida Panthers
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
5 - 2 | 24 - 28 | View |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Florida Panthers
|
3 - 1 | 20 - 23 | View |
| Apr 15, 2025 |
Florida Panthers
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
1 - 5 | 24 - 31 | View |
| Mar 3, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Florida Panthers
|
1 - 2 | 29 - 29 | View |
| Dec 23, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Florida Panthers
|
4 - 0 | 29 - 36 | View |
| Dec 22, 2024 |
Florida Panthers
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
4 - 2 | 26 - 21 | View |
| Mar 16, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Florida Panthers
|
5 - 3 | 16 - 50 | View |
| Feb 17, 2024 |
Florida Panthers
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
9 - 2 | 30 - 30 | View |