Philadelphia Flyers vs New York Islanders prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for April 3, 2026

NHL matchup

Philadelphia Flyers at New York Islanders

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for April 3, 2026.

April 3, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Samuel Ersson

Philadelphia Flyers · Last start: Apr 2

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
111
Save %
91.0
Goals allowed
10
Close-range shots %
29.7

Ilya Sorokin

New York Islanders · Last start: Mar 31

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
121
Save %
88.4
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
34.7
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 3, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Philadelphia Flyers

xG for / game
3.74
xG against / game
2.27
xG differential / game
1.46

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

New York Islanders

xG for / game
3.09
xG against / game
3.25
xG differential / game
-0.16

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 3, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Philadelphia Flyers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
58.7
Attempt share
52.6
Faceoff win %
51.4
Penalties / game
3.8

Shots / game: 27.7 · Shooting: 11.2% · Avg distance: 31.2 ft

New York Islanders

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
58.4
Attempt share
49.9
Faceoff win %
57.0
Penalties / game
3.1

Shots / game: 28.7 · Shooting: 9.8% · Avg distance: 33.1 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
Metric
New York Islanders NYI
3Points6
0.188Points %0.500
10Goals for19
31Goals against15
-21Goal differential4
OT1Current streakW1
Road versus home
Philadelphia Flyers PHI road
Metric
New York Islanders NYI home
4Games4
0Wins3
1Points6
-9Goal differential8
Last 10 games
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
Metric
New York Islanders NYI
0-5-3Record3-3-0
3Points6
10Goals for19
31Goals against15
-21Goal differential4
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Philadelphia Flyers PHI 5 wins
10 games reviewed
New York Islanders NYI 5 wins
Total goals24 – 29
Goal differential -5 / +5
Goals per game2.4 / 2.9
Shots per game27.7 / 28.1
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 26, 2026
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
4 - 0 23 - 21 View
Nov 28, 2025
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at New York Islanders New York Islanders
4 - 3 21 - 31 View
Oct 25, 2025
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
3 - 4 26 - 26 View
Apr 12, 2025
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
3 - 4 40 - 22 View
Jan 30, 2025
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
3 - 0 28 - 23 View
Jan 24, 2025
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at New York Islanders New York Islanders
1 - 3 30 - 27 View
Jan 16, 2025
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at New York Islanders New York Islanders
5 - 3 24 - 29 View
Apr 1, 2024
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
4 - 3 27 - 34 View
Nov 25, 2023
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at New York Islanders New York Islanders
1 - 0 40 - 25 View
Nov 22, 2023
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at New York Islanders New York Islanders
2 - 3 36 - 25 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.