Samuel Ersson
Philadelphia Flyers · Last start: Jan 21
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 99
- Save %
- 85.9
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 39.4
Philadelphia Flyers vs Colorado Avalanche prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 23, 2026
NHL matchup
Philadelphia Flyers at Colorado Avalanche
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 23, 2026.
January 23, 2026
· 8:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Scott Wedgewood
Colorado Avalanche · Last start: Jan 21
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 123
- Save %
- 91.9
- Goals allowed
- 10
- Close-range shots %
- 26.0
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 23, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Philadelphia Flyers
- xG for / game
- 3.16
- xG against / game
- 3.32
- xG differential / game
- -0.16
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Colorado Avalanche
- xG for / game
- 3.71
- xG against / game
- 2.51
- xG differential / game
- 1.21
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 23, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Philadelphia Flyers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 58.8
- Attempt share
- 51.4
- Faceoff win %
- 51.0
- Penalties / game
- 5.3
Shots / game: 26.2 · Shooting: 10.7% · Avg distance: 32.0 ft
Colorado Avalanche
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 72.2
- Attempt share
- 56.8
- Faceoff win %
- 53.6
- Penalties / game
- 2.9
Shots / game: 36.6 · Shooting: 10.4% · Avg distance: 34.5 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
PHI
|
Metric |
COL
|
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Points | 9 |
| 0.167 | Points % | 0.643 |
| 11 | Goals for | 31 |
| 33 | Goals against | 22 |
| -22 | Goal differential | 9 |
| L1 | Current streak | OT1 |
Road versus home
|
PHI road
|
Metric |
COL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 4 |
| 0 | Wins | 2 |
| 1 | Points | 5 |
| -10 | Goal differential | 5 |
Last 10 games
|
PHI
|
Metric |
COL
|
|---|---|---|
| 0-6-3 | Record | 4-2-1 |
| 3 | Points | 9 |
| 11 | Goals for | 31 |
| 33 | Goals against | 22 |
| -22 | Goal differential | 9 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
PHI
3 wins
10
games reviewed
COL
7 wins
Total goals34 – 39
Goal differential
-5
/
+5
Goals per game3.4 / 3.9
Shots per game30.2 / 34.1
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
3 - 2 | 28 - 25 | View |
| Feb 2, 2025 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
0 - 2 | 24 - 32 | View |
| Nov 18, 2024 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
3 - 2 | 29 - 26 | View |
| Jan 20, 2024 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
7 - 4 | 25 - 40 | View |
| Dec 9, 2023 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
5 - 2 | 34 - 38 | View |
| Dec 13, 2022 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
2 - 3 | 28 - 25 | View |
| Dec 5, 2022 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
3 - 5 | 32 - 34 | View |
| Mar 25, 2022 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
3 - 6 | 31 - 51 | View |
| Dec 6, 2021 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
7 - 5 | 50 - 32 | View |
| Feb 1, 2020 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
3 - 6 | 31 - 28 | View |