Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction & Matchup Analysis – February 28, 2026

The Ottawa Senators visit the Toronto Maple Leafs on February 28, 2026. playerWON’s machine-learning model projects a Ottawa Senators win with a 62.8% probability.

Ottawa Senators

39-26-10

@

Toronto Maple Leafs

32-31-13

🤖 Model favours Ottawa Senators (62.8%)

February 28, 2026

Visitor Model Odds

Ottawa Senators

62.8%

American: -169

Decimal: 1.59

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Home Model Odds

Toronto Maple Leafs

37.2%

American: +169

Decimal: 2.69

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🥅 Last 10 Head-to-Head Games

OTT	H2H Summary	TOR
6-4	Record	4-6
36	Total Goals	30
+6	Goal Differential	-6
3.6	Goals / Game	3.0
33.7	Shots / Game	28.4

Date	Matchup	Score	Shots	Details
Dec 27, 2025	Ottawa Senators @ Toronto Maple Leafs @	5 - 7	31 - 33	View
Mar 15, 2025	Ottawa Senators @ Toronto Maple Leafs @	4 - 2	25 - 23	View
Jan 25, 2025	Toronto Maple Leafs @ Ottawa Senators @	1 - 2	29 - 23	View
Nov 12, 2024	Ottawa Senators @ Toronto Maple Leafs @	3 - 0	41 - 27	View
Feb 10, 2024	Toronto Maple Leafs @ Ottawa Senators @	3 - 5	35 - 32	View
Dec 27, 2023	Ottawa Senators @ Toronto Maple Leafs @	4 - 2	30 - 36	View
Dec 7, 2023	Toronto Maple Leafs @ Ottawa Senators @	4 - 3	22 - 41	View
Nov 8, 2023	Ottawa Senators @ Toronto Maple Leafs @	6 - 3	31 - 30	View
Apr 1, 2023	Toronto Maple Leafs @ Ottawa Senators @	3 - 0	20 - 31	View
Mar 18, 2023	Toronto Maple Leafs @ Ottawa Senators @	5 - 4	29 - 52	View

This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects.