Leevi Meriläinen
Ottawa Senators · Last start: Jan 7
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 104
- Save %
- 85.6
- Goals allowed
- 15
- Close-range shots %
- 27.9
Ottawa Senators vs Colorado Avalanche prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 8, 2026
NHL matchup
Ottawa Senators at Colorado Avalanche
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 8, 2026.
January 8, 2026
· 8:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Scott Wedgewood
Colorado Avalanche · Last start: Jan 6
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 137
- Save %
- 90.5
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 30.7
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 8, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Ottawa Senators
- xG for / game
- 3.51
- xG against / game
- 2.40
- xG differential / game
- 1.11
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Colorado Avalanche
- xG for / game
- 3.72
- xG against / game
- 2.85
- xG differential / game
- 0.87
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 8, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Ottawa Senators
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 62.2
- Attempt share
- 55.6
- Faceoff win %
- 53.5
- Penalties / game
- 5.0
Shots / game: 30.8 · Shooting: 11.7% · Avg distance: 32.9 ft
Colorado Avalanche
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 72.0
- Attempt share
- 57.1
- Faceoff win %
- 54.3
- Penalties / game
- 3.6
Shots / game: 33.7 · Shooting: 11.3% · Avg distance: 34.7 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
OTT
|
Metric |
COL
|
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Points | 9 |
| 0.750 | Points % | 0.643 |
| 23 | Goals for | 31 |
| 20 | Goals against | 22 |
| 3 | Goal differential | 9 |
| W1 | Current streak | OT1 |
Road versus home
|
OTT road
|
Metric |
COL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Games | 4 |
| 3 | Wins | 2 |
| 6 | Points | 5 |
| 5 | Goal differential | 5 |
Last 10 games
|
OTT
|
Metric |
COL
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-2-0 | Record | 4-2-1 |
| 12 | Points | 9 |
| 23 | Goals for | 31 |
| 20 | Goals against | 22 |
| 3 | Goal differential | 9 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
OTT
1 wins
10
games reviewed
COL
9 wins
Total goals29 – 54
Goal differential
-25
/
+25
Goals per game2.9 / 5.4
Shots per game31.1 / 34.2
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Ottawa Senators
|
5 - 1 | 33 - 16 | View |
| Oct 27, 2024 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
4 - 5 | 30 - 32 | View |
| Jan 16, 2024 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Ottawa Senators
|
7 - 4 | 34 - 40 | View |
| Dec 21, 2023 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
4 - 6 | 45 - 39 | View |
| Mar 16, 2023 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Ottawa Senators
|
5 - 4 | 30 - 36 | View |
| Jan 14, 2023 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
0 - 7 | 29 - 33 | View |
| Dec 4, 2021 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Ottawa Senators
|
5 - 6 | 31 - 34 | View |
| Nov 22, 2021 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
5 - 7 | 21 - 40 | View |
| Feb 11, 2020 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
0 - 3 | 34 - 36 | View |
| Feb 6, 2020 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Ottawa Senators
|
4 - 1 | 34 - 26 | View |