New York Rangers vs New York Islanders prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 28, 2026

NHL matchup

New York Rangers at New York Islanders

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 28, 2026.

January 28, 2026 · 6:30 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Jonathan Quick

New York Rangers · Last start: Jan 26

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
116
Save %
81.0
Goals allowed
22
Close-range shots %
30.2

Ilya Sorokin

New York Islanders · Last start: Jan 26

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
134
Save %
91.8
Goals allowed
11
Close-range shots %
42.5
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 28, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

New York Rangers

xG for / game
2.96
xG against / game
3.34
xG differential / game
-0.39

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

New York Islanders

xG for / game
2.75
xG against / game
3.39
xG differential / game
-0.63

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 28, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

New York Rangers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
58.4
Attempt share
50.0
Faceoff win %
57.7
Penalties / game
3.1

Shots / game: 27.2 · Shooting: 10.7% · Avg distance: 33.1 ft

New York Islanders

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
53.4
Attempt share
47.3
Faceoff win %
54.0
Penalties / game
3.2

Shots / game: 26.5 · Shooting: 11.3% · Avg distance: 32.6 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
New York Rangers NYR
Metric
New York Islanders NYI
12Points6
0.750Points %0.500
27Goals for19
14Goals against15
13Goal differential4
W2Current streakW1
Road versus home
New York Rangers NYR road
Metric
New York Islanders NYI home
3Games4
1Wins3
2Points6
-3Goal differential8
Last 10 games
New York Rangers NYR
Metric
New York Islanders NYI
6-2-0Record3-3-0
12Points6
27Goals for19
14Goals against15
13Goal differential4
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

New York Rangers NYR 7 wins
10 games reviewed
New York Islanders NYI 3 wins
Total goals39 – 25
Goal differential +14 / -14
Goals per game3.9 / 2.5
Shots per game32.2 / 32.5
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Dec 27, 2025
New York Rangers New York Rangers at New York Islanders New York Islanders
0 - 2 27 - 26 View
Nov 8, 2025
New York Islanders New York Islanders at New York Rangers New York Rangers
5 - 0 26 - 33 View
Apr 10, 2025
New York Rangers New York Rangers at New York Islanders New York Islanders
9 - 2 32 - 46 View
Mar 3, 2025
New York Islanders New York Islanders at New York Rangers New York Rangers
0 - 4 21 - 27 View
Feb 25, 2025
New York Rangers New York Rangers at New York Islanders New York Islanders
5 - 1 18 - 37 View
Nov 3, 2024
New York Islanders New York Islanders at New York Rangers New York Rangers
2 - 5 37 - 40 View
Apr 13, 2024
New York Islanders New York Islanders at New York Rangers New York Rangers
2 - 3 36 - 43 View
Apr 9, 2024
New York Rangers New York Rangers at New York Islanders New York Islanders
2 - 4 33 - 28 View
Mar 17, 2024
New York Islanders New York Islanders at New York Rangers New York Rangers
2 - 5 27 - 31 View
Feb 18, 2024
New York Rangers New York Rangers at New York Islanders New York Islanders
6 - 5 38 - 41 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.