David Rittich
New York Islanders · Last start: Mar 14
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 130
- Save %
- 88.5
- Goals allowed
- 15
- Close-range shots %
- 33.1
New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 17, 2026
NHL matchup
New York Islanders at Toronto Maple Leafs
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 17, 2026.
March 17, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Anthony Stolarz
Toronto Maple Leafs · Last start: Mar 15
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 154
- Save %
- 92.9
- Goals allowed
- 11
- Close-range shots %
- 33.8
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 17, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
New York Islanders
- xG for / game
- 3.20
- xG against / game
- 3.13
- xG differential / game
- 0.08
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Toronto Maple Leafs
- xG for / game
- 2.55
- xG against / game
- 4.07
- xG differential / game
- -1.52
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 17, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
New York Islanders
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 64.6
- Attempt share
- 51.2
- Faceoff win %
- 54.7
- Penalties / game
- 2.4
Shots / game: 30.5 · Shooting: 10.2% · Avg distance: 32.6 ft
Toronto Maple Leafs
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 49.1
- Attempt share
- 40.9
- Faceoff win %
- 53.2
- Penalties / game
- 5.3
Shots / game: 26.2 · Shooting: 9.5% · Avg distance: 33.8 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
NYI
|
Metric |
TOR
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Points | 7 |
| 0.500 | Points % | 0.500 |
| 19 | Goals for | 24 |
| 15 | Goals against | 23 |
| 4 | Goal differential | 1 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
NYI road
|
Metric |
TOR home
|
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Games | 4 |
| 0 | Wins | 2 |
| 0 | Points | 4 |
| -4 | Goal differential | 0 |
Last 10 games
|
NYI
|
Metric |
TOR
|
|---|---|---|
| 3-3-0 | Record | 3-3-1 |
| 6 | Points | 7 |
| 19 | Goals for | 24 |
| 15 | Goals against | 23 |
| 4 | Goal differential | 1 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
NYI
7 wins
10
games reviewed
TOR
3 wins
Total goals35 – 28
Goal differential
+7
/
-7
Goals per game3.5 / 2.8
Shots per game29.7 / 31.5
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
New York Islanders
|
3 - 4 | 21 - 25 | View |
| Jan 2, 2025 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
New York Islanders
|
2 - 1 | 31 - 33 | View |
| Dec 31, 2024 |
New York Islanders
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
1 - 3 | 31 - 25 | View |
| Dec 21, 2024 |
New York Islanders
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
6 - 3 | 34 - 29 | View |
| Feb 5, 2024 |
New York Islanders
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
3 - 2 | 29 - 36 | View |
| Jan 11, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
New York Islanders
|
3 - 4 | 35 - 30 | View |
| Dec 11, 2023 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
New York Islanders
|
3 - 4 | 40 - 29 | View |
| Mar 21, 2023 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
New York Islanders
|
2 - 7 | 27 - 29 | View |
| Jan 23, 2023 |
New York Islanders
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
2 - 5 | 33 - 39 | View |
| Nov 21, 2022 |
New York Islanders
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
3 - 2 | 24 - 32 | View |