New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 17, 2026
Get the playerWON NHL prediction for the New York Islanders at Toronto Maple Leafs matchup on March 17, 2026. playerWON’s machine-learning model currently gives the New York Islanders a 57.4% win probability.
🤖 Model favours New York Islanders
(57.4%)
Compare market odds, fair odds, and value below.
March 17, 2026
Visitor Model vs Market
New York Islanders
57.4%
Fair American: -135
Fair Decimal: 1.74
Calculate Value →
Home Model vs Market
Toronto Maple Leafs
42.6%
Fair American: +135
Fair Decimal: 2.35
Calculate Value →
📊 Season Overview
|
NYI
|
Metric |
TOR
|
|---|---|---|
| 91 | Points | 78 |
| 0.555 | Points % | 0.476 |
| 233 | Goals For | 253 |
| 241 | Goals Against | 299 |
| -8 | Goal Differential | -46 |
| L3 | Current Streak | L5 |
🚍 Road vs 🏠 Home
|
NYI (Road)
|
Metric |
TOR (Home)
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 21 | Wins | 18 |
| 45 | Points | 44 |
| -6 | Goal Differential | -10 |
🔥 Last 10 Games
|
NYI
|
Metric |
TOR
|
|---|---|---|
| 3-7-0 | Record | 2-7-1 |
| 6 | Points | 5 |
| 24 | Goals For | 28 |
| 35 | Goals Against | 47 |
| -11 | Goal Differential | -19 |
🥅 Last 10 Head-to-Head Games
|
NYI
|
H2H Summary |
TOR
|
|---|---|---|
| 7-3 | Record | 3-7 |
| 35 | Total Goals | 28 |
| +7 | Goal Differential | -7 |
| 3.5 | Goals / Game | 2.8 |
| 29.7 | Shots / Game | 31.5 |
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
New York Islanders
@
|
3 - 4 | 21 - 25 | View |
| Jan 2, 2025 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
New York Islanders
@
|
2 - 1 | 31 - 33 | View |
| Dec 31, 2024 |
New York Islanders
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
1 - 3 | 31 - 25 | View |
| Dec 21, 2024 |
New York Islanders
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
6 - 3 | 34 - 29 | View |
| Feb 5, 2024 |
New York Islanders
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
3 - 2 | 29 - 36 | View |
| Jan 11, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
New York Islanders
@
|
3 - 4 | 35 - 30 | View |
| Dec 11, 2023 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
New York Islanders
@
|
3 - 4 | 40 - 29 | View |
| Mar 21, 2023 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
New York Islanders
@
|
2 - 7 | 27 - 29 | View |
| Jan 23, 2023 |
New York Islanders
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
2 - 5 | 33 - 39 | View |
| Nov 21, 2022 |
New York Islanders
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
3 - 2 | 24 - 32 | View |
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.