New York Islanders vs St. Louis Blues prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 10, 2026

NHL matchup

New York Islanders at St. Louis Blues

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 10, 2026.

March 10, 2026 · 6:30 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Ilya Sorokin

New York Islanders · Last start: Mar 7

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
145
Save %
91.0
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
38.6

Joel Hofer

St. Louis Blues · Last start: Mar 8

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
133
Save %
92.5
Goals allowed
10
Close-range shots %
27.1
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 10, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

New York Islanders

xG for / game
2.96
xG against / game
3.40
xG differential / game
-0.44

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

St. Louis Blues

xG for / game
2.83
xG against / game
3.06
xG differential / game
-0.23

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 10, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

New York Islanders

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
61.5
Attempt share
49.5
Faceoff win %
54.3
Penalties / game
2.7

Shots / game: 28.8 · Shooting: 10.8% · Avg distance: 33.2 ft

St. Louis Blues

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
52.1
Attempt share
48.2
Faceoff win %
47.1
Penalties / game
4.1

Shots / game: 27.4 · Shooting: 13.1% · Avg distance: 36.0 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
New York Islanders NYI
Metric
St. Louis Blues STL
7Points7
0.500Points %0.500
20Goals for25
17Goals against23
3Goal differential2
OT1Current streakL1
Road versus home
New York Islanders NYI road
Metric
St. Louis Blues STL home
3Games2
0Wins1
1Points3
-5Goal differential1
Last 10 games
New York Islanders NYI
Metric
St. Louis Blues STL
3-3-1Record3-3-1
7Points7
20Goals for25
17Goals against23
3Goal differential2
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

New York Islanders NYI 4 wins
10 games reviewed
St. Louis Blues STL 6 wins
Total goals22 – 29
Goal differential -7 / +7
Goals per game2.2 / 2.9
Shots per game30.4 / 27.9
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Nov 22, 2025
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at New York Islanders New York Islanders
2 - 1 22 - 30 View
Nov 23, 2024
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at New York Islanders New York Islanders
1 - 3 25 - 31 View
Oct 17, 2024
New York Islanders New York Islanders at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
0 - 1 34 - 30 View
Mar 5, 2024
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at New York Islanders New York Islanders
2 - 4 21 - 33 View
Feb 22, 2024
New York Islanders New York Islanders at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
0 - 4 38 - 25 View
Dec 6, 2022
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at New York Islanders New York Islanders
7 - 4 28 - 40 View
Nov 3, 2022
New York Islanders New York Islanders at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
5 - 2 30 - 34 View
Apr 9, 2022
New York Islanders New York Islanders at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
1 - 6 31 - 31 View
Mar 5, 2022
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at New York Islanders New York Islanders
1 - 2 31 - 20 View
Feb 27, 2020
New York Islanders New York Islanders at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
2 - 3 17 - 32 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.