New York Islanders vs Philadelphia Flyers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 26, 2026

NHL matchup

New York Islanders at Philadelphia Flyers

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 26, 2026.

January 26, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

David Rittich

New York Islanders · Last start: Jan 24

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
101
Save %
83.2
Goals allowed
17
Close-range shots %
25.7

Samuel Ersson

Philadelphia Flyers · Last start: Jan 23

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
126
Save %
88.1
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
31.7
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 26, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

New York Islanders

xG for / game
2.84
xG against / game
3.45
xG differential / game
-0.61

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Philadelphia Flyers

xG for / game
3.22
xG against / game
3.35
xG differential / game
-0.13

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 26, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

New York Islanders

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
55.3
Attempt share
47.8
Faceoff win %
52.4
Penalties / game
3.0

Shots / game: 26.7 · Shooting: 11.2% · Avg distance: 32.2 ft

Philadelphia Flyers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
56.5
Attempt share
49.4
Faceoff win %
50.2
Penalties / game
5.3

Shots / game: 25.3 · Shooting: 11.9% · Avg distance: 31.0 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
New York Islanders NYI
Metric
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
6Points3
0.500Points %0.188
19Goals for10
15Goals against31
4Goal differential-21
W1Current streakOT1
Road versus home
New York Islanders NYI road
Metric
Philadelphia Flyers PHI home
2Games4
0Wins0
0Points2
-4Goal differential-12
Last 10 games
New York Islanders NYI
Metric
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
3-3-0Record0-5-3
6Points3
19Goals for10
15Goals against31
4Goal differential-21
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

New York Islanders NYI 5 wins
10 games reviewed
Philadelphia Flyers PHI 5 wins
Total goals29 – 24
Goal differential +5 / -5
Goals per game2.9 / 2.4
Shots per game27.9 / 28.3
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Nov 28, 2025
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at New York Islanders New York Islanders
4 - 3 21 - 31 View
Oct 25, 2025
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
3 - 4 26 - 26 View
Apr 12, 2025
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
3 - 4 40 - 22 View
Jan 30, 2025
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
3 - 0 28 - 23 View
Jan 24, 2025
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at New York Islanders New York Islanders
1 - 3 30 - 27 View
Jan 16, 2025
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at New York Islanders New York Islanders
5 - 3 24 - 29 View
Apr 1, 2024
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
4 - 3 27 - 34 View
Nov 25, 2023
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at New York Islanders New York Islanders
1 - 0 40 - 25 View
Nov 22, 2023
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at New York Islanders New York Islanders
2 - 3 36 - 25 View
Apr 8, 2023
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at New York Islanders New York Islanders
0 - 4 27 - 21 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.