Ilya Sorokin
New York Islanders · Last start: Mar 17
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 143
- Save %
- 90.9
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 42.0
New York Islanders vs Ottawa Senators prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 19, 2026
NHL matchup
New York Islanders at Ottawa Senators
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 19, 2026.
March 19, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Linus Ullmark
Ottawa Senators · Last start: Mar 18
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 114
- Save %
- 88.6
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 36.0
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 19, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
New York Islanders
- xG for / game
- 3.37
- xG against / game
- 3.14
- xG differential / game
- 0.23
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Ottawa Senators
- xG for / game
- 3.62
- xG against / game
- 2.54
- xG differential / game
- 1.08
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 19, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
New York Islanders
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 66.7
- Attempt share
- 52.0
- Faceoff win %
- 53.2
- Penalties / game
- 2.7
Shots / game: 32.5 · Shooting: 9.5% · Avg distance: 32.6 ft
Ottawa Senators
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 65.3
- Attempt share
- 56.1
- Faceoff win %
- 52.9
- Penalties / game
- 3.9
Shots / game: 30.8 · Shooting: 11.4% · Avg distance: 30.7 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
NYI
|
Metric |
OTT
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Points | 10 |
| 0.500 | Points % | 0.714 |
| 19 | Goals for | 21 |
| 15 | Goals against | 19 |
| 4 | Goal differential | 2 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
NYI road
|
Metric |
OTT home
|
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Games | 3 |
| 0 | Wins | 2 |
| 0 | Points | 4 |
| -4 | Goal differential | -3 |
Last 10 games
|
NYI
|
Metric |
OTT
|
|---|---|---|
| 3-3-0 | Record | 5-2-0 |
| 6 | Points | 10 |
| 19 | Goals for | 21 |
| 15 | Goals against | 19 |
| 4 | Goal differential | 2 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
NYI
6 wins
10
games reviewed
OTT
4 wins
Total goals31 – 26
Goal differential
+5
/
-5
Goals per game3.1 / 2.6
Shots per game30.1 / 33.8
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 |
New York Islanders
at
Ottawa Senators
|
5 - 4 | 23 - 32 | View |
| Jan 14, 2025 |
Ottawa Senators
at
New York Islanders
|
2 - 0 | 27 - 24 | View |
| Dec 8, 2024 |
New York Islanders
at
Ottawa Senators
|
4 - 2 | 13 - 31 | View |
| Nov 7, 2024 |
New York Islanders
at
Ottawa Senators
|
4 - 2 | 25 - 30 | View |
| Mar 16, 2024 |
Ottawa Senators
at
New York Islanders
|
4 - 3 | 30 - 33 | View |
| Nov 24, 2023 |
New York Islanders
at
Ottawa Senators
|
5 - 3 | 26 - 31 | View |
| Oct 26, 2023 |
Ottawa Senators
at
New York Islanders
|
2 - 3 | 47 - 38 | View |
| Feb 14, 2023 |
Ottawa Senators
at
New York Islanders
|
3 - 2 | 34 - 48 | View |
| Jan 25, 2023 |
New York Islanders
at
Ottawa Senators
|
1 - 2 | 36 - 38 | View |
| Nov 14, 2022 |
New York Islanders
at
Ottawa Senators
|
4 - 2 | 35 - 38 | View |