Ilya Sorokin
New York Islanders · Last start: Feb 5
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 143
- Save %
- 93.0
- Goals allowed
- 10
- Close-range shots %
- 32.9
New York Islanders vs Montréal Canadiens prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 26, 2026
NHL matchup
New York Islanders at Montréal Canadiens
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 26, 2026.
February 26, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Sam Montembeault
Montréal Canadiens · Last start: Feb 4
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 149
- Save %
- 89.3
- Goals allowed
- 16
- Close-range shots %
- 38.9
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 26, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
New York Islanders
- xG for / game
- 2.64
- xG against / game
- 3.01
- xG differential / game
- -0.37
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Montréal Canadiens
- xG for / game
- 3.04
- xG against / game
- 3.60
- xG differential / game
- -0.56
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 26, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
New York Islanders
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 53.0
- Attempt share
- 50.1
- Faceoff win %
- 54.5
- Penalties / game
- 3.2
Shots / game: 26.1 · Shooting: 10.7% · Avg distance: 32.6 ft
Montréal Canadiens
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 56.2
- Attempt share
- 47.8
- Faceoff win %
- 55.8
- Penalties / game
- 4.0
Shots / game: 26.6 · Shooting: 15.0% · Avg distance: 33.2 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
NYI
|
Metric |
MTL
|
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Points | 7 |
| 0.500 | Points % | 0.500 |
| 20 | Goals for | 23 |
| 17 | Goals against | 27 |
| 3 | Goal differential | -4 |
| OT1 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
NYI road
|
Metric |
MTL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Games | 4 |
| 0 | Wins | 2 |
| 1 | Points | 4 |
| -5 | Goal differential | -3 |
Last 10 games
|
NYI
|
Metric |
MTL
|
|---|---|---|
| 3-3-1 | Record | 3-3-1 |
| 7 | Points | 7 |
| 20 | Goals for | 23 |
| 17 | Goals against | 27 |
| 3 | Goal differential | -4 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
NYI
6 wins
10
games reviewed
MTL
4 wins
Total goals30 – 26
Goal differential
+4
/
-4
Goals per game3.0 / 2.6
Shots per game32.5 / 29.0
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
New York Islanders
|
3 - 4 | 41 - 25 | View |
| Dec 3, 2024 |
New York Islanders
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
1 - 2 | 31 - 27 | View |
| Oct 19, 2024 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
New York Islanders
|
3 - 4 | 24 - 36 | View |
| Apr 11, 2024 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
New York Islanders
|
2 - 3 | 14 - 31 | View |
| Jan 25, 2024 |
New York Islanders
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
3 - 4 | 46 - 26 | View |
| Dec 16, 2023 |
New York Islanders
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
3 - 5 | 33 - 41 | View |
| Apr 12, 2023 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
New York Islanders
|
2 - 4 | 19 - 35 | View |
| Feb 11, 2023 |
New York Islanders
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
3 - 4 | 30 - 31 | View |
| Jan 14, 2023 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
New York Islanders
|
1 - 2 | 23 - 38 | View |
| Apr 15, 2022 |
New York Islanders
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
3 - 0 | 20 - 44 | View |