Ilya Sorokin
New York Islanders · Last start: Mar 30
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 115
- Save %
- 90.4
- Goals allowed
- 11
- Close-range shots %
- 33.9
New York Islanders vs Buffalo Sabres prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 31, 2026
NHL matchup
New York Islanders at Buffalo Sabres
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 31, 2026.
March 31, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Buffalo Sabres · Last start: Mar 28
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 143
- Save %
- 93.7
- Goals allowed
- 9
- Close-range shots %
- 28.0
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 31, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
New York Islanders
- xG for / game
- 3.17
- xG against / game
- 3.22
- xG differential / game
- -0.04
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Buffalo Sabres
- xG for / game
- 3.22
- xG against / game
- 2.81
- xG differential / game
- 0.41
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 31, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
New York Islanders
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 60.4
- Attempt share
- 50.9
- Faceoff win %
- 57.5
- Penalties / game
- 2.9
Shots / game: 28.2 · Shooting: 9.6% · Avg distance: 32.9 ft
Buffalo Sabres
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 62.1
- Attempt share
- 54.2
- Faceoff win %
- 49.6
- Penalties / game
- 4.2
Shots / game: 28.4 · Shooting: 11.3% · Avg distance: 31.9 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
NYI
|
Metric |
BUF
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Points | 7 |
| 0.500 | Points % | 0.500 |
| 19 | Goals for | 19 |
| 15 | Goals against | 26 |
| 4 | Goal differential | -7 |
| W1 | Current streak | OT1 |
Road versus home
|
NYI road
|
Metric |
BUF home
|
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Games | 5 |
| 0 | Wins | 3 |
| 0 | Points | 6 |
| -4 | Goal differential | -3 |
Last 10 games
|
NYI
|
Metric |
BUF
|
|---|---|---|
| 3-3-0 | Record | 3-3-1 |
| 6 | Points | 7 |
| 19 | Goals for | 19 |
| 15 | Goals against | 26 |
| 4 | Goal differential | -7 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
NYI
4 wins
10
games reviewed
BUF
6 wins
Total goals17 – 31
Goal differential
-14
/
+14
Goals per game1.7 / 3.1
Shots per game28.4 / 30.8
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
New York Islanders
|
5 - 0 | 21 - 26 | View |
| Dec 20, 2025 |
New York Islanders
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
2 - 3 | 34 - 32 | View |
| Dec 23, 2024 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
New York Islanders
|
7 - 1 | 25 - 28 | View |
| Nov 30, 2024 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
New York Islanders
|
0 - 3 | 29 - 20 | View |
| Nov 1, 2024 |
New York Islanders
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
4 - 3 | 36 - 35 | View |
| Mar 14, 2024 |
New York Islanders
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
0 - 4 | 21 - 37 | View |
| Oct 21, 2023 |
New York Islanders
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
1 - 3 | 25 - 42 | View |
| Oct 14, 2023 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
New York Islanders
|
2 - 3 | 28 - 29 | View |
| Mar 25, 2023 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
New York Islanders
|
2 - 0 | 35 - 26 | View |
| Mar 7, 2023 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
New York Islanders
|
2 - 3 | 24 - 39 | View |