Away team
New Jersey Devils
39.3%
Fair American
+154
Fair decimal
2.54
New Jersey Devils vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 11, 2027
NHL matchup
New Jersey Devils at Tampa Bay Lightning
View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 11, 2027.
March 11, 2027
· 6:00 PM CST
Model favourite
Tampa Bay Lightning
at 60.7%
Prediction
Model versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Tampa Bay Lightning
60.7%
Fair American
-154
Fair decimal
1.65
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
NJD
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 87 | Points | 106 |
| 0.530 | Points % | 0.646 |
| 230 | Goals for | 290 |
| 254 | Goals against | 231 |
| -24 | Goal differential | 59 |
| L1 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
NJD road
|
Metric |
TBL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 21 | Wins | 26 |
| 42 | Points | 53 |
| -21 | Goal differential | 22 |
Last 10 games
|
NJD
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-4-1 | Record | 5-5-0 |
| 11 | Points | 10 |
| 31 | Goals for | 26 |
| 34 | Goals against | 30 |
| -3 | Goal differential | -4 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
NJD
3 wins
10
games reviewed
TBL
7 wins
Total goals30 – 46
Goal differential
-16
/
+16
Goals per game3.0 / 4.6
Shots per game30.2 / 28.2
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
New Jersey Devils
|
8 - 4 | 35 - 37 | View |
| Nov 18, 2025 |
New Jersey Devils
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
1 - 5 | 32 - 29 | View |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
New Jersey Devils
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
5 - 3 | 31 - 17 | View |
| Jan 11, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
New Jersey Devils
|
2 - 3 | 25 - 26 | View |
| Nov 16, 2024 |
New Jersey Devils
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
0 - 4 | 29 - 26 | View |
| Oct 22, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
New Jersey Devils
|
8 - 5 | 37 - 35 | View |
| Feb 25, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
New Jersey Devils
|
4 - 1 | 27 - 19 | View |
| Jan 27, 2024 |
New Jersey Devils
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
3 - 6 | 24 - 42 | View |
| Jan 11, 2024 |
New Jersey Devils
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
3 - 4 | 30 - 20 | View |
| Mar 19, 2023 |
New Jersey Devils
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
5 - 2 | 39 - 24 | View |