Away team
Montréal Canadiens
59.7%
Fair American
-148
Fair decimal
1.68
Montréal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for September 19, 2026
NHL matchup
Montréal Canadiens at Toronto Maple Leafs
View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for September 19, 2026.
September 19, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model favourite
Montréal Canadiens
at 59.7%
Prediction
Model versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Toronto Maple Leafs
40.3%
Fair American
+148
Fair decimal
2.48
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
MTL
|
Metric |
TOR
|
|---|---|---|
| 106 | Points | 78 |
| 0.646 | Points % | 0.476 |
| 283 | Goals for | 253 |
| 256 | Goals against | 299 |
| 27 | Goal differential | -46 |
| L1 | Current streak | L5 |
Road versus home
|
MTL road
|
Metric |
TOR home
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 24 | Wins | 18 |
| 56 | Points | 44 |
| 17 | Goal differential | -10 |
Last 10 games
|
MTL
|
Metric |
TOR
|
|---|---|---|
| 7-3-0 | Record | 2-7-1 |
| 14 | Points | 5 |
| 28 | Goals for | 28 |
| 24 | Goals against | 47 |
| 4 | Goal differential | -19 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
MTL
4 wins
10
games reviewed
TOR
6 wins
Total goals21 – 28
Goal differential
-7
/
+7
Goals per game2.1 / 2.8
Shots per game28.2 / 29.5
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
1 - 3 | 18 - 33 | View |
| Dec 6, 2025 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
2 - 1 | 34 - 23 | View |
| Nov 22, 2025 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
2 - 5 | 26 - 29 | View |
| Oct 8, 2025 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
2 - 5 | 31 - 27 | View |
| Apr 12, 2025 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
0 - 1 | 15 - 35 | View |
| Jan 18, 2025 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
7 - 3 | 34 - 35 | View |
| Nov 9, 2024 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
1 - 4 | 21 - 27 | View |
| Oct 9, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
0 - 1 | 48 - 27 | View |
| Apr 6, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
4 - 2 | 30 - 26 | View |
| Mar 9, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
3 - 2 | 27 - 31 | View |