Montréal Canadiens vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 28, 2025

Get the playerWON NHL prediction for the Montréal Canadiens at Tampa Bay Lightning matchup on December 28, 2025. playerWON’s machine-learning model prediction is not available yet for this game.

Montréal Canadiens

48-24-10

@

Tampa Bay Lightning

50-26-6

🤖 Model prediction not available yet

December 28, 2025

📊 Season Overview

MTL	Metric	TBL
106	Points	106
0.646	Points %	0.646
283	Goals For	290
256	Goals Against	231
27	Goal Differential	59
L1	Current Streak	L1

🚍 Road vs 🏠 Home

MTL (Road)	Metric	TBL (Home)
41	Games	41
24	Wins	26
56	Points	53
17	Goal Differential	22

🔥 Last 10 Games

MTL	Metric	TBL
7-3-0	Record	5-5-0
14	Points	10
28	Goals For	26
24	Goals Against	30
4	Goal Differential	-4

🥅 Last 10 Head-to-Head Games

MTL	H2H Summary	TBL
3-7	Record	7-3
31	Total Goals	42
-11	Goal Differential	+11
3.1	Goals / Game	4.2
27.8	Shots / Game	29.6

Date	Matchup	Score	Shots	Details
Dec 9, 2025	Tampa Bay Lightning @ Montréal Canadiens @	6 - 1	27 - 27	View
Feb 9, 2025	Tampa Bay Lightning @ Montréal Canadiens @	5 - 3	21 - 35	View
Jan 21, 2025	Tampa Bay Lightning @ Montréal Canadiens @	2 - 3	35 - 22	View
Dec 29, 2024	Montréal Canadiens @ Tampa Bay Lightning @	5 - 2	37 - 23	View
Apr 4, 2024	Tampa Bay Lightning @ Montréal Canadiens @	7 - 4	35 - 30	View
Mar 2, 2024	Montréal Canadiens @ Tampa Bay Lightning @	3 - 4	31 - 29	View
Dec 31, 2023	Montréal Canadiens @ Tampa Bay Lightning @	3 - 4	29 - 20	View
Nov 7, 2023	Tampa Bay Lightning @ Montréal Canadiens @	5 - 3	32 - 26	View
Mar 21, 2023	Tampa Bay Lightning @ Montréal Canadiens @	2 - 3	33 - 20	View
Mar 18, 2023	Montréal Canadiens @ Tampa Bay Lightning @	3 - 5	21 - 41	View

This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.