Montréal Canadiens vs Ottawa Senators Prediction & Matchup Analysis – March 11, 2026

The Montréal Canadiens visit the Ottawa Senators on March 11, 2026. playerWON’s machine-learning model projects a Ottawa Senators win with a 59.2% probability.

Montréal Canadiens

44-21-10

@

Ottawa Senators

39-26-10

🤖 Model favours Ottawa Senators (59.2%)

March 11, 2026

Visitor Model Odds

Montréal Canadiens

40.8%

American: +145

Decimal: 2.45

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Home Model Odds

Ottawa Senators

59.2%

American: -145

Decimal: 1.69

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🥅 Last 10 Head-to-Head Games

MTL	H2H Summary	OTT
5-5	Record	5-5
36	Total Goals	39
-3	Goal Differential	+3
3.6	Goals / Game	3.9
24.7	Shots / Game	30.0

Date	Matchup	Score	Shots	Details
Jan 17, 2026	Montréal Canadiens @ Ottawa Senators @	6 - 5	19 - 34	View
Dec 2, 2025	Ottawa Senators @ Montréal Canadiens @	5 - 2	29 - 22	View
Nov 1, 2025	Ottawa Senators @ Montréal Canadiens @	3 - 4	17 - 27	View
Apr 11, 2025	Montréal Canadiens @ Ottawa Senators @	2 - 5	22 - 34	View
Mar 18, 2025	Ottawa Senators @ Montréal Canadiens @	3 - 6	25 - 33	View
Feb 22, 2025	Montréal Canadiens @ Ottawa Senators @	5 - 2	25 - 27	View
Oct 12, 2024	Ottawa Senators @ Montréal Canadiens @	1 - 4	25 - 26	View
Apr 13, 2024	Montréal Canadiens @ Ottawa Senators @	4 - 5	25 - 44	View
Jan 23, 2024	Ottawa Senators @ Montréal Canadiens @	4 - 1	28 - 25	View
Jan 18, 2024	Montréal Canadiens @ Ottawa Senators @	2 - 6	23 - 37	View

This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects.