Montréal Canadiens vs Ottawa Senators Prediction & Matchup Analysis – January 17, 2026

The Montréal Canadiens visit the Ottawa Senators on January 17, 2026. playerWON’s machine-learning model projects a Ottawa Senators win with a 56.6% probability.

🤖 Model favours Ottawa Senators (56.6%)
January 17, 2026
Visitor Model Odds
Montréal Canadiens logo
Montréal Canadiens
43.4%
American: +130
Decimal: 2.3
EV calculator →
Home Model Odds
Ottawa Senators logo
Ottawa Senators
56.6%
American: -130
Decimal: 1.77
EV calculator →
📊 Season Overview
MTL Metric OTT
98 Points 88
0.653 Points % 0.587
265 Goals For 251
236 Goals Against 231
29 Goal Differential 20
W7 Current Streak W1
🚍 Road vs 🏠 Home
MTL (Road) Metric OTT (Home)
38 Games 36
22 Wins 19
52 Points 44
15 Goal Differential 21
🔥 Last 10 Games
MTL Metric OTT
8-2-0 Record 6-3-1
16 Points 13
35 Goals For 33
20 Goals Against 30
15 Goal Differential 3
🥅 Last 10 Head-to-Head Games
Montréal Canadiens MTL
H2H Summary
Ottawa Senators OTT
4-6 Record 6-4
32 Total Goals 39
-7 Goal Differential +7
3.2 Goals / Game 3.9
26.0 Shots / Game 28.8
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Dec 2, 2025
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators @ Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
Ottawa Senators @ Montréal Canadiens
5 - 2 29 - 22 View
Nov 1, 2025
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators @ Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
Ottawa Senators @ Montréal Canadiens
3 - 4 17 - 27 View
Apr 11, 2025
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens @ Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
Montréal Canadiens @ Ottawa Senators
2 - 5 22 - 34 View
Mar 18, 2025
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators @ Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
Ottawa Senators @ Montréal Canadiens
3 - 6 25 - 33 View
Feb 22, 2025
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens @ Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
Montréal Canadiens @ Ottawa Senators
5 - 2 25 - 27 View
Oct 12, 2024
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators @ Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
Ottawa Senators @ Montréal Canadiens
1 - 4 25 - 26 View
Apr 13, 2024
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens @ Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
Montréal Canadiens @ Ottawa Senators
4 - 5 25 - 44 View
Jan 23, 2024
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators @ Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
Ottawa Senators @ Montréal Canadiens
4 - 1 28 - 25 View
Jan 18, 2024
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens @ Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
Montréal Canadiens @ Ottawa Senators
2 - 6 23 - 37 View
Feb 25, 2023
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators @ Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
Ottawa Senators @ Montréal Canadiens
5 - 2 22 - 32 View

This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects.