Montréal Canadiens vs New York Islanders prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for April 12, 2026

NHL matchup

Montréal Canadiens at New York Islanders

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for April 12, 2026.

April 12, 2026 · 5:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Jakub Dobes

Montréal Canadiens · Last start: Apr 11

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
159
Save %
91.8
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
35.2

Ilya Sorokin

New York Islanders · Last start: Apr 11

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
124
Save %
87.1
Goals allowed
16
Close-range shots %
34.7
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 12, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Montréal Canadiens

xG for / game
3.18
xG against / game
3.53
xG differential / game
-0.35

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

New York Islanders

xG for / game
3.34
xG against / game
2.96
xG differential / game
0.37

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 12, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Montréal Canadiens

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
52.3
Attempt share
46.4
Faceoff win %
50.0
Penalties / game
5.4

Shots / game: 24.0 · Shooting: 10.8% · Avg distance: 32.4 ft

New York Islanders

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
60.3
Attempt share
51.3
Faceoff win %
57.5
Penalties / game
2.7

Shots / game: 29.0 · Shooting: 9.0% · Avg distance: 33.7 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Montréal Canadiens MTL
Metric
New York Islanders NYI
7Points6
0.583Points %0.500
19Goals for19
22Goals against15
-3Goal differential4
W2Current streakW1
Road versus home
Montréal Canadiens MTL road
Metric
New York Islanders NYI home
2Games4
1Wins3
3Points6
0Goal differential8
Last 10 games
Montréal Canadiens MTL
Metric
New York Islanders NYI
3-2-1Record3-3-0
7Points6
19Goals for19
22Goals against15
-3Goal differential4
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Montréal Canadiens MTL 5 wins
10 games reviewed
New York Islanders NYI 5 wins
Total goals35 – 32
Goal differential +3 / -3
Goals per game3.5 / 3.2
Shots per game28.3 / 31.5
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 21, 2026
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
3 - 7 22 - 36 View
Feb 26, 2026
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
4 - 3 26 - 24 View
Mar 20, 2025
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at New York Islanders New York Islanders
3 - 4 41 - 25 View
Dec 3, 2024
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
1 - 2 31 - 27 View
Oct 19, 2024
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at New York Islanders New York Islanders
3 - 4 24 - 36 View
Apr 11, 2024
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at New York Islanders New York Islanders
2 - 3 14 - 31 View
Jan 25, 2024
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
3 - 4 46 - 26 View
Dec 16, 2023
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
3 - 5 33 - 41 View
Apr 12, 2023
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at New York Islanders New York Islanders
2 - 4 19 - 35 View
Feb 11, 2023
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
3 - 4 30 - 31 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.