Montréal Canadiens vs Buffalo Sabres prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for May 6, 2026

NHL matchup

Montréal Canadiens at Buffalo Sabres

View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for May 6, 2026.

May 6, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Away

Montréal Canadiens

48-24-10
at
Home

Buffalo Sabres

50-23-9
Model favourite Buffalo Sabres at 58.9%
Prediction

Model versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Montréal Canadiens logo
Away team

Montréal Canadiens

41.1%
Fair American +143
Fair decimal 2.43
Best market +117 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 46.1%
Edge -5.0%
Expected value -10.8%
Calculate value
Buffalo Sabres logo
Home team

Buffalo Sabres

58.9%
Fair American -143
Fair decimal 1.7
Best market -125 · BetUS
Market implied 55.6%
Edge +3.3%
Expected value +6.0%
Calculate value
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Montréal Canadiens MTL
Metric
Buffalo Sabres BUF
106Points109
0.646Points %0.665
283Goals for288
256Goals against241
27Goal differential47
L1Current streakOT1
Road versus home
Montréal Canadiens MTL road
Metric
Buffalo Sabres BUF home
41Games41
24Wins26
56Points57
17Goal differential30
Last 10 games
Montréal Canadiens MTL
Metric
Buffalo Sabres BUF
7-3-0Record6-3-1
14Points13
28Goals for34
24Goals against30
4Goal differential4
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Montréal Canadiens MTL 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Buffalo Sabres BUF 4 wins
Total goals37 – 33
Goal differential +4 / -4
Goals per game3.7 / 3.3
Shots per game28.2 / 27.5
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 31, 2026
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
4 - 2 31 - 38 View
Jan 22, 2026
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
4 - 2 17 - 34 View
Jan 15, 2026
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
3 - 5 23 - 27 View
Oct 20, 2025
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
2 - 4 32 - 31 View
Mar 3, 2025
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
3 - 4 36 - 20 View
Mar 1, 2025
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
4 - 2 29 - 25 View
Dec 17, 2024
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
1 - 6 21 - 27 View
Nov 11, 2024
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
7 - 5 23 - 18 View
Feb 21, 2024
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
3 - 2 23 - 31 View
Jan 4, 2024
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
6 - 1 38 - 33 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings MTL BUF