Away team
Florida Panthers
35.5%
Fair American
+182
Fair decimal
2.82
Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for September 24, 2026
NHL matchup
Florida Panthers at Tampa Bay Lightning
View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for September 24, 2026.
September 24, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model favourite
Tampa Bay Lightning
at 64.5%
Prediction
Model versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Tampa Bay Lightning
64.5%
Fair American
-182
Fair decimal
1.55
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
FLA
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 84 | Points | 106 |
| 0.512 | Points % | 0.646 |
| 251 | Goals for | 290 |
| 276 | Goals against | 231 |
| -25 | Goal differential | 59 |
| W3 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
FLA road
|
Metric |
TBL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 17 | Wins | 26 |
| 35 | Points | 53 |
| -35 | Goal differential | 22 |
Last 10 games
|
FLA
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-4-1 | Record | 5-5-0 |
| 11 | Points | 10 |
| 36 | Goals for | 26 |
| 35 | Goals against | 30 |
| 1 | Goal differential | -4 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
FLA
4 wins
10
games reviewed
TBL
6 wins
Total goals28 – 34
Goal differential
-6
/
+6
Goals per game2.8 / 3.4
Shots per game30.2 / 25.7
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 |
Florida Panthers
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
1 - 6 | 34 - 28 | View |
| Dec 27, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Florida Panthers
|
4 - 2 | 25 - 26 | View |
| Dec 15, 2025 |
Florida Panthers
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
5 - 2 | 24 - 28 | View |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Florida Panthers
|
3 - 1 | 20 - 23 | View |
| Apr 15, 2025 |
Florida Panthers
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
1 - 5 | 24 - 31 | View |
| Mar 3, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Florida Panthers
|
1 - 2 | 29 - 29 | View |
| Dec 23, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Florida Panthers
|
4 - 0 | 29 - 36 | View |
| Dec 22, 2024 |
Florida Panthers
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
4 - 2 | 26 - 21 | View |
| Mar 16, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Florida Panthers
|
5 - 3 | 16 - 50 | View |
| Feb 17, 2024 |
Florida Panthers
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
9 - 2 | 30 - 30 | View |