Detroit Red Wings vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 21, 2026
Get the playerWON NHL prediction for the Detroit Red Wings at Toronto Maple Leafs matchup on January 21, 2026. playerWON’s machine-learning model currently gives the Detroit Red Wings a 51.9% win probability.
🤖 Model favours Detroit Red Wings
(51.9%)
Compare market odds, fair odds, and value below.
January 21, 2026
Visitor Model vs Market
Detroit Red Wings
51.9%
Fair American: -108
Fair Decimal: 1.93
Calculate Value →
Home Model vs Market
Toronto Maple Leafs
48.1%
Fair American: +108
Fair Decimal: 2.08
Calculate Value →
📊 Season Overview
|
DET
|
Metric |
TOR
|
|---|---|---|
| 91 | Points | 78 |
| 0.569 | Points % | 0.488 |
| 237 | Goals For | 247 |
| 246 | Goals Against | 290 |
| -9 | Goal Differential | -43 |
| L1 | Current Streak | L3 |
🚍 Road vs 🏠 Home
|
DET (Road)
|
Metric |
TOR (Home)
|
|---|---|---|
| 39 | Games | 40 |
| 20 | Wins | 18 |
| 45 | Points | 44 |
| 1 | Goal Differential | -9 |
🔥 Last 10 Games
|
DET
|
Metric |
TOR
|
|---|---|---|
| 3-6-1 | Record | 3-6-1 |
| 7 | Points | 7 |
| 32 | Goals For | 28 |
| 38 | Goals Against | 45 |
| -6 | Goal Differential | -17 |
🥅 Last 10 Head-to-Head Games
|
DET
|
H2H Summary |
TOR
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-4 | Record | 4-6 |
| 33 | Total Goals | 30 |
| +3 | Goal Differential | -3 |
| 3.3 | Goals / Game | 3.0 |
| 27.8 | Shots / Game | 27.3 |
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
Detroit Red Wings
@
|
2 - 3 | 27 - 36 | View |
| Oct 13, 2025 |
Detroit Red Wings
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
3 - 2 | 15 - 40 | View |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
Detroit Red Wings
@
|
3 - 6 | 23 - 35 | View |
| Apr 17, 2025 |
Detroit Red Wings
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
3 - 4 | 34 - 20 | View |
| Dec 27, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
Detroit Red Wings
@
|
5 - 2 | 23 - 25 | View |
| Dec 14, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
Detroit Red Wings
@
|
2 - 4 | 25 - 26 | View |
| Nov 8, 2024 |
Detroit Red Wings
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
1 - 3 | 22 - 20 | View |
| Apr 13, 2024 |
Detroit Red Wings
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
5 - 4 | 32 - 36 | View |
| Jan 14, 2024 |
Detroit Red Wings
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
4 - 2 | 24 - 30 | View |
| Nov 17, 2023 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
Detroit Red Wings
@
|
3 - 2 | 29 - 29 | View |
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.