Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 12, 2026
Get the playerWON NHL prediction for the Detroit Red Wings at Tampa Bay Lightning matchup on March 12, 2026. playerWON’s machine-learning model currently gives the Tampa Bay Lightning a 69.5% win probability.
🤖 Model favours Tampa Bay Lightning
(69.5%)
Compare market odds, fair odds, and value below.
March 12, 2026
Visitor Model vs Market
Detroit Red Wings
30.5%
Fair American: +228
Fair Decimal: 3.28
Calculate Value →
Home Model vs Market
Tampa Bay Lightning
69.5%
Fair American: -228
Fair Decimal: 1.44
Calculate Value →
📊 Season Overview
|
DET
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 91 | Points | 104 |
| 0.569 | Points % | 0.650 |
| 237 | Goals For | 284 |
| 246 | Goals Against | 224 |
| -9 | Goal Differential | 60 |
| L1 | Current Streak | W1 |
🚍 Road vs 🏠 Home
|
DET (Road)
|
Metric |
TBL (Home)
|
|---|---|---|
| 39 | Games | 39 |
| 20 | Wins | 25 |
| 45 | Points | 51 |
| 1 | Goal Differential | 23 |
🔥 Last 10 Games
|
DET
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 3-6-1 | Record | 5-4-1 |
| 7 | Points | 11 |
| 32 | Goals For | 27 |
| 38 | Goals Against | 29 |
| -6 | Goal Differential | -2 |
🥅 Last 10 Head-to-Head Games
|
DET
|
H2H Summary |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-4 | Record | 4-6 |
| 27 | Total Goals | 33 |
| -6 | Goal Differential | +6 |
| 2.7 | Goals / Game | 3.3 |
| 34.2 | Shots / Game | 27.0 |
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Detroit Red Wings
@
|
6 - 3 | 28 - 36 | View |
| Oct 17, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Detroit Red Wings
@
|
1 - 2 | 32 - 31 | View |
| Apr 11, 2025 |
Detroit Red Wings
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
4 - 3 | 26 - 21 | View |
| Feb 8, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Detroit Red Wings
@
|
6 - 3 | 18 - 37 | View |
| Jan 25, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Detroit Red Wings
@
|
0 - 2 | 28 - 32 | View |
| Jan 18, 2025 |
Detroit Red Wings
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
1 - 5 | 39 - 22 | View |
| Apr 1, 2024 |
Detroit Red Wings
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
4 - 2 | 32 - 36 | View |
| Jan 21, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Detroit Red Wings
@
|
1 - 2 | 28 - 35 | View |
| Oct 14, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Detroit Red Wings
@
|
4 - 6 | 25 - 42 | View |
| Apr 13, 2023 |
Detroit Red Wings
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
0 - 5 | 32 - 32 | View |
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.