Mackenzie Blackwood
Colorado Avalanche · Last start: Jan 23
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 114
- Save %
- 86.8
- Goals allowed
- 15
- Close-range shots %
- 24.6
Colorado Avalanche vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 25, 2026
NHL matchup
Colorado Avalanche at Toronto Maple Leafs
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 25, 2026.
January 25, 2026
· 1:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Anthony Stolarz
Toronto Maple Leafs · Last start: Jan 23
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 121
- Save %
- 85.1
- Goals allowed
- 18
- Close-range shots %
- 31.4
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 25, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Colorado Avalanche
- xG for / game
- 3.60
- xG against / game
- 2.70
- xG differential / game
- 0.89
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Toronto Maple Leafs
- xG for / game
- 3.02
- xG against / game
- 3.66
- xG differential / game
- -0.64
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 25, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Colorado Avalanche
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 71.7
- Attempt share
- 56.0
- Faceoff win %
- 53.1
- Penalties / game
- 2.8
Shots / game: 35.8 · Shooting: 9.8% · Avg distance: 34.0 ft
Toronto Maple Leafs
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 53.8
- Attempt share
- 43.4
- Faceoff win %
- 56.6
- Penalties / game
- 3.4
Shots / game: 26.9 · Shooting: 11.9% · Avg distance: 33.5 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
COL
|
Metric |
TOR
|
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Points | 8 |
| 0.643 | Points % | 0.500 |
| 31 | Goals for | 28 |
| 22 | Goals against | 28 |
| 9 | Goal differential | 0 |
| OT1 | Current streak | OT1 |
Road versus home
|
COL road
|
Metric |
TOR home
|
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Games | 5 |
| 2 | Wins | 2 |
| 4 | Points | 5 |
| 4 | Goal differential | -1 |
Last 10 games
|
COL
|
Metric |
TOR
|
|---|---|---|
| 4-2-1 | Record | 3-3-2 |
| 9 | Points | 8 |
| 31 | Goals for | 28 |
| 22 | Goals against | 28 |
| 9 | Goal differential | 0 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
COL
5 wins
10
games reviewed
TOR
5 wins
Total goals34 – 37
Goal differential
-3
/
+3
Goals per game3.4 / 3.7
Shots per game33.6 / 29.4
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
4 - 3 | 31 - 34 | View |
| Mar 19, 2025 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
1 - 2 | 39 - 26 | View |
| Mar 8, 2025 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
4 - 7 | 21 - 34 | View |
| Feb 24, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
4 - 3 | 30 - 29 | View |
| Jan 13, 2024 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
5 - 3 | 33 - 29 | View |
| Mar 15, 2023 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
2 - 1 | 29 - 18 | View |
| Dec 31, 2022 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
6 - 2 | 32 - 28 | View |
| Jan 8, 2022 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
4 - 5 | 27 - 49 | View |
| Dec 1, 2021 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
3 - 8 | 31 - 41 | View |
| Dec 4, 2019 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
3 - 1 | 30 - 39 | View |