Scott Wedgewood
Colorado Avalanche · Last start: Jan 4
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 132
- Save %
- 90.9
- Goals allowed
- 12
- Close-range shots %
- 31.8
Colorado Avalanche vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 6, 2026
NHL matchup
Colorado Avalanche at Tampa Bay Lightning
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 6, 2026.
January 6, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Andrei Vasilevskiy
Tampa Bay Lightning · Last start: Jan 3
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 122
- Save %
- 89.3
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 32.0
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 6, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Colorado Avalanche
- xG for / game
- 3.88
- xG against / game
- 2.91
- xG differential / game
- 0.96
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Tampa Bay Lightning
- xG for / game
- 3.35
- xG against / game
- 2.94
- xG differential / game
- 0.42
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 6, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Colorado Avalanche
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 73.1
- Attempt share
- 57.7
- Faceoff win %
- 53.0
- Penalties / game
- 3.6
Shots / game: 34.5 · Shooting: 11.6% · Avg distance: 34.5 ft
Tampa Bay Lightning
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 58.8
- Attempt share
- 53.3
- Faceoff win %
- 48.3
- Penalties / game
- 6.6
Shots / game: 26.5 · Shooting: 14.7% · Avg distance: 32.4 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
COL
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Points | 10 |
| 0.643 | Points % | 0.714 |
| 31 | Goals for | 21 |
| 22 | Goals against | 19 |
| 9 | Goal differential | 2 |
| OT1 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
COL road
|
Metric |
TBL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Games | 4 |
| 2 | Wins | 4 |
| 4 | Points | 8 |
| 4 | Goal differential | 7 |
Last 10 games
|
COL
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 4-2-1 | Record | 5-2-0 |
| 9 | Points | 10 |
| 31 | Goals for | 21 |
| 22 | Goals against | 19 |
| 9 | Goal differential | 2 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
COL
4 wins
10
games reviewed
TBL
6 wins
Total goals27 – 40
Goal differential
-13
/
+13
Goals per game2.7 / 4.0
Shots per game32.4 / 32.0
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
2 - 3 | 24 - 33 | View |
| Nov 25, 2024 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
2 - 8 | 25 - 33 | View |
| Oct 30, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
5 - 2 | 21 - 35 | View |
| Feb 15, 2024 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
3 - 6 | 31 - 39 | View |
| Nov 27, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
1 - 4 | 39 - 23 | View |
| Feb 14, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
4 - 3 | 35 - 46 | View |
| Feb 9, 2023 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
0 - 5 | 30 - 32 | View |
| Feb 10, 2022 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
2 - 3 | 38 - 47 | View |
| Oct 23, 2021 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
4 - 3 | 27 - 32 | View |
| Feb 17, 2020 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
4 - 3 | 27 - 27 | View |